Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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931
FNUS72 KJAX 170504
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Pavilion Rd 2 RX...FFS Jacksonville
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
104 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Bermuda ridge axis will be over north central FL today with
scattered thunderstorms developing this afternoon with south to
southwesterly winds 5-10 mph turning southerly mid afternoon as
the Atlantic seabreeze nears the site. Thunderstorms will end
about an hour after sunset with very light south to southeast
winds. Heat index values will range 100-105. Good dispersions
expected.

Scattered Thunderstorms will again form Wednesday afternoon as
the Atlantic seabreeze progresses past the site by mid afternoon
as Bermuda ridge rises into north Florida turning southerly winds
southeasterly 5-10 mph. Storms will end in the early evening hours.
Heat index values will be around 100. Good level dispersions again
expected at the site.


.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  19  19  18  15  19  31  43  56  57  58  60
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  40  40  40  50
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  40  40  40  50
Temp............72  72  75  80  85  89  92  92  93  93  91  89
RH..............100 100 97  82  70  61  54  52  51  51  56  59
Heat index (F)..72  72  76  87  93  98  102 102 102 104 101 101
Wind chill (F)..72  72  76  81  85  90  93  94  94  95  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   5   5   6   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.3   3   6   7   9   10  10  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.4 5.1 5.6 4.9 4.3 3.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
Dispersion idx..3   3   6   13  26  35  43  48  51  46  36  31
LVORI...........9   9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  57  57  54  50  47  43  40  33  20  18  23
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  30  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).40  50  20  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............88  85  83  80  78  77  76  75  74  74  73  72
RH..............63  70  80  85  91  90  94  94  97  93  97  97
Heat index (F)..98  96  93  88  85  79  77  77  76  75  74  73
Wind chill (F)..90  88  85  82  80  79  77  77  76  75  74  73
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.13  10  9   7   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
Dispersion idx..20  12  4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   2   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  15  10  12  13  13  23  32  41  45  49  52
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  30  50
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  50  50  50  50
Temp............72  72  75  81  84  89  92  93  94  94  93  92
RH..............100 100 94  82  70  63  58  54  52  52  56  59
Heat index (F)..72  73  75  85  90  94  98  99  100 100 100 97
Wind chill (F)..72  73  75  80  84  87  90  91  92  92  91  89
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3               6   6   7   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.9 5.0 6.0 7.1 5.8 4.5 3.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   7   10  13
Dispersion idx..2   2   6   12  17  23  29  34  40  50  56  49
LVORI...........8   8   6   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Bricker
Requested by...John P. Baumgardner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516055.0/JAX
.DELDT 06/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michelle.maylon@fdacs.gov,troy.meredith@fdacs.gov,john.baumgardner@fdacs.gov