Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 041708
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Kinnard Pasture...Alachua County
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1208 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on December 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Friday, mostly cloudy skies will become cloudy by the afternoon
with isolated to scattered showers by the mid to late afternoon as
as a wave of low pressure moves east northeast along a front that
will stretch west to east near the FL/GA state line. Southerly
winds 10-15 mph in the late morning will become southwesterly and
breezy 15-20 mph by early afternoon with gusts to 25-30 mph as the
low moves near the site then east northeast of the site. Despite
increasing surface and transport winds, dispersions will be in
the fair to good range due to low mixing heights.

Friday night, scattered showers and cloudy skies expected with
light southwest winds becoming very light and westerly.

Saturday, showers will increase with heavier showers moving into
the site along with isolated thunderstorms from late morning into
early to mid afternoon as another wave of low pressure moves east
to northeast along the frontal boundary nearing the area. Daytime
Dispersions will be in the fair to poor range due to low cloud cover.

Saturday night, light westerly winds will turn northwest and then
northerly as the frontal boundary sinks south of the site with
widespread showers. About 1-2 inches of rainfall expected Saturday
into Saturday night with potential for locally higher totals. More
heavy rain is expected Sunday, increasing rainfall totals to
2-4 inches, locally higher.


.FRIDAY...
TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  55  61  76  85  78  74  76  75  69
Weather cov.....                                    SCH
Weather type....                                    RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............61  66  72  76  78  79  79  79  78  76
RH..............93  87  79  74  71  72  74  74  76  82
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  14  15  15  15  15  14  12
20 FT wind gust.14  16  17  21  23  23  23  23  21  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  16  18  20  21  22  22  21  20  17
Dispersion idx..11  24  31  36  42  48  46  43  39  32
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........90  93  87  88  89  90  91  92  93  94  95  93
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  70  69  68  67  67  66  65  64  63  62  61
RH..............87  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   6   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.13  9   7   7   6   6   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.14  12  10  9   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..20  8   7   6   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........4   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  89  87  85  83  85  86  88  87  86  85  88
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10
Temp............61  62  64  66  69  71  73  73  74  74  73  71
RH..............100 100 100 100 97  90  84  81  79  76  79  84
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   3   6   6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 1.7
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   8   9   12  12  13  13  13  13  13  10
Dispersion idx..2   5   6   10  16  21  25  29  29  28  26  19
LVORI...........10  9   9   7   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Bricker
Requested by...Jesse Natwick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527032.0/JAX
.DELDT 12/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jnatwick@alachuacounty.us,mbarker@alachuacounty.us