Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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092
FNUS72 KJAX 120521
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Cary State Forest RX...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
121 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Warm temperatures continue through midweek as daytime highs are
expected to rise to the mid 90s with heat index values nearing
108F each afternoon. Though scattered showers and cloud cover
during the afternoon hours may be enough to keep temperatures from
rising much. Otherwise, west winds will persists with gusts up to
15 mph as the Gulf breeze pushes inland during the afternoon
hours with Fair to Good dispersions expected.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  20  24  25  39  60  62  59  72
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   10  10  20  40  40  40  60
Chc of thdr (%).10  0   10  10  20  40  40  40  60
Temp............80  84  87  90  92  93  93  94  92
RH..............91  82  72  66  60  58  56  54  56
Heat index (F)..87  95  99  103 105 106 105 106 102
Wind chill (F)..87  95  99  103 105 106 105 106 102
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   8   8   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  14  14  14  14  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.2 2.9 3.5 4.2 4.8 4.2 3.6 3.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  12  13  12  12  10  9
Dispersion idx..19  30  41  49  58  64  57  45  35
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  72  74  68  62  56  47  39  30  22  28  27
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  30  20  10  10  0   0   0   10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).60  50  30  20  10  10  0   0   0   10  10  0
Temp............90  87  83  82  81  80  79  78  77  77  76  76
RH..............60  65  74  79  82  82  88  91  94  90  94  94
Heat index (F)..99  95  90  89  87  84  79  78  77  77  76  76
Wind chill (F)..99  95  90  89  87  84  79  78  77  77  76  76
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  W   SW  W   SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   5   5   5   5   3   5   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.12  9   8   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..25  15  5   5   4   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........2   2   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  26  35  28  20  18  19  33  51  54  50  61
Weather cov.....                                    CHC SCH CHC
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    CHC SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  0   0   0   0   10  30  20  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   10  0   0   0   0   10  30  20  40
Temp............76  75  77  79  84  87  90  92  94  94  95  94
RH..............94  97  97  94  82  75  68  62  56  54  53  54
Heat index (F)..76  75  77  79  95  100 105 106 107 106 107 106
Wind chill (F)..76  75  77  79  95  100 105 106 107 106 107 106
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  9   9   10  10  10  10  9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.0 4.1 5.1 6.2 5.4 4.7 4.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   9   9
Dispersion idx..4   4   10  19  28  36  48  53  60  54  51  39
LVORI...........7   8   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Cruz
Requested by...Kyle Langland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619439.0/JAX
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.langland@fdacs.gov