Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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697
FNUS72 KJAX 272054
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Hickory Sink 7.27.26...University of Florida
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
454 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1732 EDT on July 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will be near the fire this afternoon and
could continue into midnight. Storms could cause gusty and erratic winds,
frequent lightning and heavy rainfall. Very hot and humid this
afternoon continues again on Tuesday with peak heat index around
110 F. West-southwesterly winds around 10 mph calm overnight.
Westerly winds increase to 10 mph again Tuesday afternoon with
good dispersions. Isolated showers and storms will pass near the
fire Tuesday afternoon into evening.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........71
Weather cov.....LKY
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).60
Chc of thdr (%).60
Temp............96
RH..............49
Heat index (F)..107
Wind chill (F)..107
20 FT wind dir..W
20 FT wind spd..8
20 FT wind gust.13
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5
Transp wind dir.NW
Transp wind spd.9
Dispersion idx..47
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  66  71  71  71  72  64  56  49  46  43  41
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  40  40  40  30  20  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).50  50  50  40  40  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
Temp............94  91  87  85  83  82  81  81  80  80  80  79
RH..............54  62  70  75  80  82  85  85  88  88  88  91
Heat index (F)..106 103 98  94  91  89  87  87  86  86  86  79
Wind chill (F)..106 103 98  94  91  89  87  87  86  86  86  79
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   5   5   3   2   1   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.13  10  9   9   7   7   6   3   2
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 2.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   5   5
Dispersion idx..36  24  6   6   5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   7   7

.TUESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  36  21  31  35  30  31  44  49  54  51  44
Weather cov.....                                SCH CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   10  10  10  20  30  30  20
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  0   0   10  10  10  20  30  30  20
Temp............79  78  81  84  88  91  93  95  96  96  95  93
RH..............91  94  85  80  70  64  58  55  53  53  55  58
Heat index (F)..79  78  87  94  100 105 106 109 110 110 109 106
Wind chill (F)..79  78  87  94  100 105 106 109 110 110 109 106
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   5   6   7   7   8   9   10
20 FT wind gust.2   3   6   6   7   9   10  12  12  14  16  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.9 4.9 6.0 5.1 4.2 3.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10
Dispersion idx..2   2   5   10  16  25  34  47  54  54  52  42
LVORI...........7   7   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Chaney
Requested by...Cully Lord
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2618297.1/JAX
.DELDT 07/27/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cully@ufl.edu