Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 031346
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Clay County Pro Rodeo...Clay County Emergency Management
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
946 AM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 EDT on September 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

...HEAT ADVISORIES POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON FROM FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...

...STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Hot and humid weather is expected from Friday through Saturday
afternoons, with showers and thunderstorms likely at the event
site, mainly during the late afternoon and early evening hours
each day. Strong storms are possible near or at the event site
during this time frame, with activity potentially bringing wind
gusts of 40-50 mph, frequent lightning strikes, and torrential
downpours for a short period of time. Rainfall and sporadic
lightning strikes could linger into the event onset on Friday
and Saturday evenings.

High temperatures will rise to the low and mid 90s before
thunderstorms develop during the late afternoon hours, with heat
advisories possible, as peak heat indices rise to the 108-112
degree range during the afternoon hours each day. Late afternoon
and early evening showers and thunderstorms will cool
temperatures to the upper 70s to around 80 at event time on
Friday and Saturday evenings. Outside of thunderstorm activity,
southeast to southerly winds around 10 mph  will prevail through
the afternoon hours through sunset on Friday, with speeds
subsiding to 5-10 mph after sunset. Southwesterly winds of 5-10
mph will prevail on Saturday afternoon.

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  45  47  64  62  65  73
Weather cov.....        SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  40  40  50  60
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  20  40  40  50  60
Temp............88  91  92  92  91  89  86
RH..............75  68  68  66  68  70  77
Heat index (F)..103 108 111 109 108 103 98
Surface wnd dir.SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.6   7   7   7   8   8   8
Surface wnd gst.10  12  12  13  14  14  14
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   8   8   8

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........80  74  56  49  51  53  52  52  51  50  50  49
Weather cov.....LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).70  60  20  20  20  20  20  20  0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).70  60  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............83  81  79  78  77  77  77  76  76  75  75  74
RH..............85  88  94  94  97  97  97  97  97  100 97  100
Heat index (F)..93  88  79  78  77  77  77  76  76  75  75  74
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.7   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.13  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  43  57  57  57  57  57  57  76  76  76  76
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   40  40  40  40  40  40  60  60  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  30  30  30  60  60  60  50
Temp............74  74  76  79  83  86  88  90  91  91  90  89
RH..............100 100 97  91  85  80  75  70  68  66  68  68
Heat index (F)..74  74  76  79  93  100 103 106 108 106 105 102
Surface wnd dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
Surface wnd gst.6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   10  10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   7

$$
Forecaster...Nelson
Requested by...Zach Cox
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2620812.1/JAX
.DELDT 09/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zcox@claysheriff.com