Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 271835
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Mitchell...USWFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
235 PM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1517 EDT on August 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will potentially
impact the wildfire site during the late afternoon and
evening hours. Any activity that redevelops later today or
this evening will diminish by the mid-evening hours tonight.
A few showers could impact the site around sunrise on Friday,
with dry weather then expected from the early morning through
the mid afternoon hours. Showers and thunderstorms will then
move across the wildfire site during the mid to late afternoon
hours on Friday. Southwesterly surface and transport winds
will prevail through around sunset, followed by winds shifting
to southerly while diminishing later this evening. Southwesterly
surface and transport winds will prevail on Friday, creating
good daytime dispersion values.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  73  75
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).50  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).50  60  60
Temp............88  90  85
RH..............60  60  65
Heat index (F)..97  99  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 3.2 2.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   9
Dispersion idx..45  40  35
LVORI...........1   1   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........73  74  75  77  77  74  60  56  51  54  55  53
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50  40  30  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   10  0
Chc of thdr (%).50  40  30  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   10  0
Temp............84  81  76  74  74  74  73  73  72  72  71  71
RH..............70  74  90  100 97  97  97  97  100 97  100 100
Heat index (F)..91  86  76  74  74  74  73  73  72  72  71  71
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.12  10  8   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..25  15  5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........3   4   7   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  54  36  41  36  42  49  56  68  75  77  75
Weather cov.....SCH SCH                 SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW                  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  20  30  40  50  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  30  30  50  60  60  50
Temp............71  70  72  75  81  84  86  87  88  87  89  84
RH..............100 100 100 100 88  80  72  70  66  70  64  74
Heat index (F)..71  70  72  75  88  94  96  98  98  98  99  92
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   0   0   2   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6           3   7   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.4 4.0 4.6 3.7 2.8 1.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   7
Dispersion idx..3   5   10  15  25  35  45  55  55  45  30  20
LVORI...........9   9   8   5   4   3   3   2   1   1   2   3

$$
Forecaster...Nelson
Requested by...Sam Jerman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620618.1/JAX
.DELDT 08/27/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL samuel_jerman@fws.gov