Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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688
FNUS72 KJAX 170818
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Watermelon Pond WEA...FWC
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
418 AM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will be light through the morning and early afternoon,
around 4-8 mph and favoring a northwesterly direction. The Gulf
sea breeze will push inland reaching the burn area around 3-4 PM.
Anticipate a couple rounds of scattered thunderstorms today. The
first with the passage of the sea breeze and the second occurring
during the early evening 6-9 PM as thunderstorm activity drifts
back toward the Gulf. Be prepared for chaotic winds up to 30 mph
with vicinity thunderstorm activity. Rain and thunderstorm
chances will continue to increase this weekend as an upper
disturbance moves into the northeastern Gulf.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  21  6   7   5   19  30  48  62  74  79  84
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  40  60  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  40  60  70  70
Temp............75  75  76  79  84  87  90  91  91  92  91  89
RH..............87  87  94  85  74  70  64  60  60  58  62  66
Heat index (F)..75  75  76  79  92  98  102 102 102 103 103 100
Wind chill (F)..75  75  76  79  92  98  102 102 102 103 103 100
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   8   9   10  9   9   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.2 4.1 3.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   7   8   9   8   8   7   7   8   8
Dispersion idx..3   3   7   14  25  36  41  43  44  35  27  19
LVORI...........6   6   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   2   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82  71  82  77  74  76  58  67  51  50  35  51
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  40  40  30  40  30  30  20  20  20  30
Chc of thdr (%).60  60  40  40  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20
Temp............88  85  83  81  80  79  78  77  77  76  75  75
RH..............68  72  77  88  88  88  91  90  90  90  94  94
Heat index (F)..99  94  90  88  86  79  78  77  77  76  75  75
Wind chill (F)..99  94  90  88  86  79  78  77  77  76  75  75
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..13  9   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   4   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  43  25  35  39  54  39  49  75  82  83  78
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC     SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RNF RNF RW  RW  RW  RW      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC     SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  30  10  20  40  70  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  20  20  30  10  20  40  70  70  70
Temp............75  73  75  78  82  85  88  89  89  90  88  87
RH..............90  97  97  97  88  82  72  70  70  68  72  72
Heat index (F)..75  73  75  78  91  98  102 103 103 105 102 99
Wind chill (F)..75  73  75  78  91  98  102 103 103 105 102 99
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10
Dispersion idx..2   2   4   9   17  28  31  38  32  34  34  33
LVORI...........7   8   8   6   4   3   3   3   3   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Boothe
Requested by...Teri Graves-Mckinstry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2617479.0/JAX
.DELDT 07/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Teri.graves@myfwc.com