Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
036
FNUS72 KJAX 190557
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for 202 Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
157 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front will approach from the northwest today and produce
scattered to numerous thunderstorm coverage as the Gulf seabreeze
moves over the site by late this afternoon with light west to
southwest winds 5-10 mph. The storms will linger through sunset
with activity ending around midnight.

As the front stalls over the area Friday, numerous to widespread
showers and storms will develop in the midday to afternoon hours
before ending in the early to mid evening hours. Gusty and erratic
winds will occur in stronger storms, potentially 45-55 mph today
and Friday. Patchy, shallow ground fog is possible each morning
through Friday morning.

Max heat index values will be 100-15 degrees.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  47  43  39  35  40  44  47  50  57  63  68
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  0   0   10  20  30  40  60  60
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  0   0   10  20  30  40  60  70
Temp............73  72  76  81  85  89  91  92  93  93  92  91
RH..............97  100 94  85  75  64  58  56  52  52  54  56
Heat index (F)..73  72  76  87  95  99  101 102 102 102 101 100
Wind chill (F)..73  72  76  81  85  89  91  92  93  93  92  91
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   3   6   7   9   9   9   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.8 4.4 4.4 4.1 4.3 3.7
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..3   3   7   14  24  33  39  45  44  39  40  36
LVORI...........8   9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  69  70  67  56  51  40  41  40  39  38  37
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  30  40  30  30  20  20  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).60  50  30  40  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
Temp............88  86  81  80  77  76  75  74  73  72  71  71
RH..............61  68  79  85  94  94  97  97  100 100 100 100
Heat index (F)..96  94  86  85  77  76  75  74  73  72  71  71
Wind chill (F)..88  86  81  80  77  76  75  74  73  72  71  71
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.7   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6
Dispersion idx..28  13  3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   3   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  34  39  42  34  25  32  38  45  50  55  60
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  70  70  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  80  80  80  80
Temp............71  71  75  80  85  89  92  93  93  93  92  90
RH..............100 100 97  88  75  66  58  56  54  54  56  60
Heat index (F)..71  71  75  86  95  100 103 105 103 103 102 99
Wind chill (F)..71  71  75  80  85  89  92  93  93  93  92  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.9 4.7 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   3   5   5   6
Dispersion idx..2   2   4   9   17  22  25  27  25  29  30  36
LVORI...........10  10  8   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1

$$
Forecaster...Bricker
Requested by...Riddle
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516074.3/JAX
.DELDT 06/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL JASON.RIDDLE@USDA.GOV,wesley.woodrome@usda.gov