Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 081945
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for MONDEX 3 (54)...FFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
345 PM EDT Fri May 8 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HIGH DISPERSION POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front is located just south of the fire with a northeast wind
expected the rest of the afternoon. The front will lift back north
as a warm front late tonight. Winds will be go light tonight, and then
become south and then southwest to west on Saturday. Due to the
front, dispersion will be fairly low rest of today near 25-30. The
front is north of the wildfire site Saturday, and so dispersion
will be much higher toward about 75-80 during peak heating.

Through this evening, there is a very good chance of showers and
thunderstorms which should diminish by late evening. A chance of
showers and storms are expected again Saturday afternoon. Isolated
strong storms are possible later this afternoon and again on Saturday,
with frequent lightning, gusty winds and some hail possible.

Expect patchy fog late tonight and early Saturday which may
produce superfog at times near the site.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  89
Weather cov.....LKY DEF
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).70  80
Chc of thdr (%).50  50
Temp............86  85
RH..............53  57
Heat index (F)..89  88
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.1
Transp wind dir.NE  E
Transp wind spd.9   9
Dispersion idx..24  22
LVORI...........2   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........88  89  91  93  93  94  93  92  91  91  90  90
Weather cov.....DEF LKY CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).80  70  40  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).50  50  20  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............84  81  77  74  72  71  70  69  69  69  68  68
RH..............59  65  84  87  93  93  97  100 100 100 100 100
Heat index (F)..87  84  77  74  72  71  70  69  69  69  68  68
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   5   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.13  13  10  7   6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..18  14  6   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  89  88  80  73  74  55  64  77  77  75  76
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY                         SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG                         RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  30
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20  30
Temp............68  68  70  75  80  84  87  89  89  90  90  89
RH..............100 100 100 94  82  72  63  58  56  52  52  54
Heat index (F)..68  68  70  75  85  91  94  96  95  96  96  94
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   9   9   10  13  14  15  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.7 4.6 5.2 5.3 5.0 4.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   8   9   12  13  13  14  13  13
Dispersion idx..2   2   6   11  20  33  51  68  76  79  73  62
LVORI...........7   7   6   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Shashy
Requested by...DAVIS
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613174.0/JAX
.DELDT 05/08/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL GREGORY.DAVIS4@FDACS.GOV