Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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311
FNUS72 KJAX 291834
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Mitchell...USWFS
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
234 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1517 EDT on August 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...The east coast sea breeze boundary is starting to enter the
the Okefenokee Wilderness Area,and will be slowly traveling through the area
between 3 pm and 6 pm where localized heavy rain, storms and thunderstorm wind
gusts of 25 to 30 mph.  The sea breeze will pass west of the region around
sunset where precipitation chances will decrease. There is a 40 to 60 percent
chance of wetting rains. Low dispersions this afternoon with very low transport
winds. Dry conditions and light winds are anticipated between 9 pm this evening
through Sunday morning. Easterly winds will be 5 to 10 mph Sunday with east coast
sea breeze moving through the Wilderness Area between 3 and 6 pm with wetting
rain and storm chance likely during this period. Fair afternoon dispersions Sunday
with easterly transport winds around 10 mph. Heat indices will be tempered both
days as the seabreeze and rainfall pass through the prescribed burn area during
peak heating.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  68  70
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  40  50
Chc of thdr (%).30  40  50
Temp............84  88  84
RH..............77  68  74
Heat index (F)..93  99  92
Wind chill (F)..93  99  92
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.9   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.0 2.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   6   7
Dispersion idx..19  21  21
LVORI...........3   3   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  67  80  80  69  71  60  56  48  45  50  51
Weather cov.....LKY CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  20  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Chc of thdr (%).60  50  20  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............83  81  76  75  74  74  73  73  73  72  72  72
RH..............77  82  97  97  100 97  100 100 100 100 100 100
Heat index (F)..90  87  76  75  74  74  73  73  73  72  72  72
Wind chill (F)..90  87  76  75  74  74  73  73  73  72  72  72
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.10  10  9   8   7   7   6   5   3   3   3   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..18  13  4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   7   8   9   8   9   9   9   9   10  10

.SUNDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  62  63  67  49  23  48  49  73  70  71  70
Weather cov.....                            SCH CHC LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC LKY LKY SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  50  60  60  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  50  60  60  40
Temp............72  71  72  78  85  91  92  92  89  88  89  89
RH..............100 100 100 91  72  62  58  58  61  63  61  61
Heat index (F)..72  71  72  78  94  103 103 103 98  97  98  98
Wind chill (F)..72  71  72  78  94  103 103 103 98  97  98  98
20 FT wind dir..N   N   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   10  10  10
Dispersion idx..2   3   6   9   18  27  33  39  43  43  41  39
LVORI...........10  9   9   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Cordero
Requested by...Sam Jerman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620618.3/JAX
.DELDT 08/29/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL samuel_jerman@fws.gov