073
FXUS63 KJKL 300829
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
329 AM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A cold front passing through today will bring an end to any
  rain, and keep temperatures from rising much.

- A more significant precip event is expected Monday night and
  Tuesday, with a little bit better potential for wintery
  precipitation, especially north of the Mountain Parkway.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday)
Issued at 329 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025

Overnight Saturday night, low pressure was crossing the Great Lakes
with a cold front trailing south through western KY. The cold front
will cross east through the JKL forecast area this morning and will
probably bring light rain along and ahead of the front for some
locations. Behind the cold front, cooler and drier air will arrive
and allow for decreasing clouds, especially in the afternoon.
Despite some limited sunshine returning, temperatures will struggle
to climb much due to the cold air advection.

High pressure behind the front will approach and pass to our north
tonight. Clouds should be sparse enough to allow for radiating,
especially in the evening, and along with light winds, allow for
effective cooling. High clouds may begin to lower and thicken
overnight, slowing the drop in temps.

The high clouds will be in advance of the next system to affect us.
An upper level trough will be moving east over the central CONUS
while associated low pressure develops near the gulf coast with an
inverted trough extending norther on the west side of the
Appalachians. Lift generated by the approaching upper trough and
warm air advection aloft will bring a continued increase in clouds.
However, it looks like precip will hold off to our southwest through
the day.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 329 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025

An updated long term discussion will be sent shortly.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
ISSUED AT 1255 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2025

We again start the period VFR though lowering clouds are the trend
- probably reaching the MVFR level or lower towards dawn. A
compact weather system is moving across the Ohio Valley bringing
mainly light rain into the region through this morning. Overall,
not expecting too much in the way of lower visibilities from this
given the light nature, though some high-end MVFR restrictions are
not out of the question. Conditions should be gradually improving
west to east by mid afternoon. Expect a period of LLWS from the
south at up to 45 kts across the forecast area over the next
several hours before fading out after dawn. Otherwise, sfc winds
will be near 10 knots overnight and becoming more southwesterly by
mid morning. There will likely be a bump up in gustiness during
the morning and into early afternoon, with the arrival of the cold
front - reaching the 15 to 20 knot range.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...GINNICK
AVIATION...GREIF