Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
353
FNUS53 KJKL 160847
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
447 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.DISCUSSION....Cooler and drier air will continue to advect into the
region throughout the day today. Highs will climb into the upper 60s
to lower 70s. Along with the cooler temperatures, drier air will
bring minimum afternoon RHs down into the low to mid 30% range.
Upper-level ridging will build into the region for Friday but will be
short-lived as an approaching trough will cause the ridge to break
down leading to southwesterly flow and warmer temperatures. Highs
will climb into the low to upper 70s but the source region for
moisture is overland leading to continued to dry air and lowered
afternoon minimum RHs which will be in the upper 20 to mid 30% range.
The aforementioned trough will bring a cold front through the area
beginning Saturday afternoon and provides a wetting rain through
frontal passage on Sunday. Strong winds will accompany the front
Sunday afternoon. Surface high pressure and dry weather return to the
area for Monday.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-162030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
447 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 70 (-2) 37 (-12) 73
Rh % (24H TREND) 33 (-16) 100 (+12) 27
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3700 3000
Transport wnd (mph) NE 10 SE 5
Vent rate (kt-ft) 33300 12000
ADI Early 39 3 15
ADI Late 41 5 15
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-162030-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Owsley-
Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Booneville,
and Manchester
447 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 72 (-2) 39 (-11) 77
Rh % (24H TREND) 34 (-11) 100 (+9) 27
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3600 3700
Transport wnd (mph) NE 10 SW 5
Vent rate (kt-ft) 32400 14800
ADI Early 37 3 15
ADI Late 40 5 19
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-162030-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
447 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 74 (-3) 40 (-11) 79
Rh % (24H TREND) 35 (-7) 100 (+7) 32
20ftwnd-AM(mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) NE 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3500 3500
Transport wnd (mph) NE 12 S 6
Vent rate (kt-ft) 35000 17500
ADI Early 41 3 17
ADI Late 43 6 21
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-162030-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
447 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0
Precip type None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 69 (-2) 38 (-10) 74
Rh % (24H TREND) 34 (-19) 100 (+7) 26
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3800 3700
Transport wnd (mph) NE 9 S 3
Vent rate (kt-ft) 30400 11100
ADI Early 36 3 10
ADI Late 41 5 11
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 2
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers, cooler. Highs around 70. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
$$
VORST