Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
449
FNUS53 KJKL 190721
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
321 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
.DISCUSSION...Unseasonably warm and muggy conditions will continue
through early next week as a frontal boundary wavers over the
region. This will support a hit-and-miss threat shower and
thunderstorm threat through Monday. A potent cold front arrives
on/around Tuesday, with a round of more widespread rainfall and
followed by cooler temperatures in its wake.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-192030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
321 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 40 50 20
Precip type tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 85-88 (+3) 66-69 (+2) 87-90
Rh % (24H TREND) 51-66 (-6) 100 (0) 47-61
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 2-6 G15
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 2-6 G13
Precip duration 1 1 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.03 0.10 0.01
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4100 6100
Transport wnd (mph) SW 5 W 12
Vent rate (kt-ft) 16400 61000
ADI Early 16 4 47
ADI Late 23 11 72
Max LVORI Early 9 9 6
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-192030-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
321 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 30 30 20
Precip type tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 87-92 (+2) 63-70 (+2) 86-91
Rh % (24H TREND) 44-70 (+18) 90-100 (0) 39-70
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 2-6
Precip duration 1 1 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.01 0.02 0.01
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4900 6600
Transport wnd (mph) NW 5 W 9
Vent rate (kt-ft) 19600 52800
ADI Early 20 4 51
ADI Late 25 10 62
Max LVORI Early 9 8 7
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-192030-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
321 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance precip (%) 20 20 20
Precip type tstms showers tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 92-93 (0) 67-71 (+2) 91-92
Rh % (24H TREND) 44-54 (+7) 93-100 (0) 41-49
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 2-6 G13
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 2-6
Precip duration 1 1 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.01 0.02 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 5100 6100
Transport wnd (mph) W 5 W 9
Vent rate (kt-ft) 20400 48800
ADI Early 19 4 62
ADI Late 26 9 69
Max LVORI Early 9 7 6
Max LVORI Late 3 7 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-192030-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
321 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 20 50 30
Precip type tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 86-89 (+3) 64-69 (+1) 86-89
Rh % (24H TREND) 48-66 (+2) 93-100 (0) 45-66
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 1 1 1
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.01 0.05 0.02
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 4400 5700
Transport wnd (mph) NW 5 W 8
Vent rate (kt-ft) 17600 39900
ADI Early 17 4 53
ADI Late 22 9 58
Max LVORI Early 9 9 7
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows around 60.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph, becoming northwest early in the
evening.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
$$
GEERTSON