Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
101
FNUS53 KJKL 202039
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
339 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
.DISCUSSION...A low pressure system will track from the Southern Plains
to the OH Valley and Appalachians through Friday night and Saturday.
The warm front in advance of this system will lift into the Commonwealth
from the TN Valley tonight and lift to near the OH River on Friday
afternoon and evening. This will result in rounds of showers and
isolated storms at times. Then as the low tracks through the Ohio
Valley late Friday night and Saturday, the cold front will drop across
eastern KY. Thus, shower chances along with the potential for a few
thunderstorms will continue Friday night and then decrease through
the day on Saturday. A wetting rain is expected across the entire
region from tonight into Saturday. Mainly dry weather is anticipated
from late Saturday through the day on Monday. However, another series
of systems will bring another chance for a wetting rain from Monday
night into Wednesday.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-210930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
339 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Chance precip (%) 100 100 100 30
Precip type showers tstms tstms showers
Temp (24H TREND) 49 (+4) 64 (+8) 48 58
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 85 (+6) 100 55
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 3 7 6 1
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.13 0.42 0.35 0.02
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 1700 3300
Transport wnd (mph) S 10 N 9
Vent rate (kt-ft) 15300 26400
ADI Early 2 7 8 22
ADI Late 4 11 14 27
Max LVORI Early 7 9 7 5
Max LVORI Late 8 6 8 3
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-210930-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Owsley-
Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Booneville,
and Manchester
339 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 100 80 100 40
Precip type showers tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 53 (+3) 70 (+7) 51 64
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 73 (0) 100 56
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 5 3 7 1
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.24 0.20 0.31 0.06
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2900 3400
Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 NW 10
Vent rate (kt-ft) 40600 30600
ADI Early 4 22 9 24
ADI Late 6 28 13 24
Max LVORI Early 8 8 7 6
Max LVORI Late 9 4 8 4
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-210930-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
339 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 100 80 100 30
Precip type showers tstms tstms showers
Temp (24H TREND) 54 (+4) 71 (+10) 52 64
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 74 (-9) 100 59
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var NW 5
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 SW 5 N 5
Precip duration 5 3 6 1
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.27 0.21 0.29 0.02
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2700 2800
Transport wnd (mph) SW 17 N 10
Vent rate (kt-ft) 40500 25200
ADI Early 4 26 11 24
ADI Late 6 31 12 24
Max LVORI Early 8 8 7 6
Max LVORI Late 9 4 8 4
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-210930-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
339 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 100 90 100 60
Precip type showers tstms tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 51 (+2) 67 (+3) 51 61
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 80 (+17) 100 59
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration 3 5 7 2
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Precip amount 0.16 0.22 0.30 0.07
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 2600 3200
Transport wnd (mph) SW 14 N 10
Vent rate (kt-ft) 31200 28800
ADI Early 3 15 10 25
ADI Late 6 22 13 25
Max LVORI Early 7 8 7 5
Max LVORI Late 7 5 8 5
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows in the upper 30s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Not as cool. Lows
in the upper 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely. Lows around 50.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
$$
JP