Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
438
FNUS53 KJKL 131918
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
318 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
.DISCUSSION....Seasonably mild and dry autumn weather continues
across eastern Kentucky, with mostly sunny days and clear nights.
Nocturnal inversions each night will lead to colder lows and higher
rh recoveries in valleys, while temperature remain similar through
Wednesday. Daily minimum RH levels will remain moderate through
Wednesday (35-50% for most locations), but are forecast to be
lower than that for Thursday and Friday following the passage of
a dry cold front Wednesday into Wednesday evening.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-140830-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
318 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip type None None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 41-50 (+1) 71-74 (0) 43-51 70-71
Rh % (24H TREND) 93-100 (0) 41-53 (+8) 96-100 36-51
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var N 2-6 G13 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3000 2300
Transport wnd (mph) NE 16 N 9
Vent rate (kt-ft) 42000 18400
ADI Early 2 56 2 16
ADI Late 4 61 1 26
Max LVORI Early 7 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 10 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-140830-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Owsley-Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan,
Booneville, and Manchester
318 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip type None None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 42-52 (+6) 70-75 (0) 42-51 71-74
Rh % (24H TREND) 83-100 (0) 39-68 (+22) 89-100 36-58
20ftwnd-AM(mph) NE 2-6 G13 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var N 4-8 G16 Lgt/Var N 2-6
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3200 2700
Transport wnd (mph) NE 16 NE 12
Vent rate (kt-ft) 44800 27000
ADI Early 2 48 4 26
ADI Late 2 63 1 40
Max LVORI Early 7 8 8 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-140830-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
318 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip type None None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 44-50 (+7) 75-76 (-1) 45-51 74-75
Rh % (24H TREND) 96-100 (0) 39-48 (+4) 96-100 40-48
20ftwnd-AM(mph) NE 2-6 G15 Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var N 6-10 G17 Lgt/Var NE 4-8 G14
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3500 3300
Transport wnd (mph) NE 15 NE 13
Vent rate (kt-ft) 45500 36300
ADI Early 2 54 3 36
ADI Late 2 63 2 52
Max LVORI Early 7 9 7 7
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-140830-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson,
Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg,
Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
318 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip type None None None None
Temp (24H TREND) 42-51 (+1) 68-73 (-1) 43-52 69-72
Rh % (24H TREND) 89-100 (+1) 42-66 (+17) 93-100 39-57
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph) Lgt/Var N 2-6 G14 Lgt/Var N 2-6
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3000 2500
Transport wnd (mph) N 14 N 10
Vent rate (kt-ft) 36000 22500
ADI Early 2 43 4 21
ADI Late 2 50 1 33
Max LVORI Early 7 9 8 8
Max LVORI Late 10 4 10 3
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
$$
JP