754
FNUS73 KJKL 161939
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Paul Van Booven WMA RX Burn...KY Department of Fish and Wildlife Resources
National Weather Service Jackson KY
339 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 EDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION....Modest mixing will diminish by sundown. Upper-
level ridging will build into the region through Friday but will
be short-lived as an approaching trough will cause the ridge to
break down leading to southwesterly flow and warmer temperatures.
Highs will climb into the low to upper 70s but the source region
for moisture is overland leading to continued dry air and lowered
afternoon minimum RHs which will be in the upper 20 to mid 30
percent range. Some short term models such as the HRRR have hinted
there could be a line of showers that move through the area early
Saturday morning, however, a layer of dry air near the surface
will likely result in virga. The above mentioned trough will bring
a cold front through the area beginning Saturday afternoon and
provides a wetting rain through frontal passage on Sunday. Strong
winds will accompany the front Sunday afternoon. Surface high
pressure and dry weather return to the area for Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph late in the
                    afternoon becoming light.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25400 knot-ft).
ADI.................36 to 38.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
Temp............68  67
RH..............39  40
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10
Ridge wind dir..NE  NE
Ridge wind spd..7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   9
ADI.............38  36
Vrate kt-ft/1K..27  25
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......East 3 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2000 knot-ft).
ADI.................4 to 13.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   2   2   1   2   1   1   2   1   2   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  61  57  53  51  49  48  47  47  46  45  44
RH..............45  49  57  64  66  71  74  74  74  73  76  76
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   6   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Ridge wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Ridge wind spd..6   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
ADI.............13  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   3   2   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...GINNICK
Requested by...JJ Baker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523691.0/JKL
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.baker@ky.gov