Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
960
FNUS73 KJKL 041046
FWSJKL
Spot Forecast for Fern bluff RX...usfs
National Weather Service Jackson KY
546 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...A cold front will bring rounds of showers and
isolated thunderstorms to the burn area today, before the showers
taper off toward midnight tonight. Event total rainfall for the
Fern Bluff burn area is forecast to be near 0.75 inches. Locally
higher amounts are possible if thunderstorms occur. Drier weather
returns on Thursday, with temperatures trending cooler this
weekend.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Chance of thunder...24 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........Around 71 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 60 increasing to around 65.
Max apparent temp...Around 68.
Wind (20 ft)........South 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
possible near any thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......South 8 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10700 knot-ft) increasing to poor (19800
knot-ft) to marginal (34500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4 to 5.
ADI.................Max 36.
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96 97 98 97 96 95 95 94 89
Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC LKY DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60 70 100 90 90 50 50 70 100
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............63 65 66 67 67 67 68 67 68
Dewpoint........60 61 62 63 64 65 65 65 65
RH..............90 87 87 87 90 93 90 93 90
Aparnt tmp (F)..63 65 66 67 67 67 68 67 68
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8
20 FT wind gust.17 16 15 17 17 17 17 16 17
Ridge wind dir..S S S S S S S S S
Ridge wind spd..9 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.12 16 17 20 17 16 13 15 14
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4
ADI.............15 26 32 36 31 34 25 24 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11 21 28 35 29 31 21 20 14
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR MG PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-90 percent). Rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms mainly before 0000.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Chance of thunder...22 percent early.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 63 decreasing to around 58 overnight.
Max apparent temp...Around 68.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southwest 5 to 8 mph then
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
possible near any thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Ridgetop wind.......South to southwest 6 to 9 mph becoming southwest
to west 3 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southwest 9 to 13 mph, becoming west around
9 mph around 2300.
Vent Rate...........Decreasing to Poor (4000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5 early, 9 late.
ADI.................4 to 10.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87 91 86 85 76 75 58 69 76 72 62 57
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).100 80 80 70 40 20 10 10 10 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............68 67 65 64 64 63 62 61 60 58 57 56
Dewpoint........65 65 65 64 64 63 62 61 60 58 57 56
RH..............90 93 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Aparnt tmp (F)..68 67 65 64 64 63 62 61 60 58 57 56
20 FT wind dir..S S S SW SW W W W W W W SW
20 FT wind spd..8 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.16 14 13 12 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6
Ridge wind dir..S S S SW SW W W W W W W SW
Ridge wind spd..9 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9
Transp wind dir.S S S S SW W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.12 13 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
LVORI...........5 6 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
ADI.............10 8 8 7 7 6 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 6 5 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 7
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........Around 52 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 54 decreasing to around 50.
Max apparent temp...Around 67.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 2 to 6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 3 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (5000 knot-ft) increasing to marginal
(34300 knot-ft) to fair (42000 knot-ft) in
the afternoon.
LVORI...............8 early, 1 to 2 late.
ADI.................5 early in the morning, increasing to 49 to
60 in the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55 62 67 53 56 43 29 25 12 16 14 14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............55 54 54 56 59 62 64 65 66 67 65 65
Dewpoint........55 54 54 56 56 55 53 52 50 50 50 50
RH..............100 100 100 100 90 78 67 63 56 54 58 58
Aparnt tmp (F)..55 54 54 56 59 62 64 65 66 67 65 65
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 5 3
20 FT wind gust.5 5 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 7
Ridge wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Ridge wind spd..3 3 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.1 1.3 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.1 1.9
Transp wind dir.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.8 8 12 13 13 15 14 14 14 13 13 10
LVORI...........8 7 5 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI.............6 11 20 30 32 54 58 58 60 54 49 26
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 8 14 22 27 40 42 41 42 39 34 17
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR MG MG PR
$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Seth Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624680.2/JKL
.DELDT 11/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL seth.thompson2@usda.gov,conrad.mccloskey@usda.gov,casey.lovell@usda.gov,brian.sayles@usda.gov