Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
838
FNUS73 KJKL 231850
FWSJKL
Spot Forecast for Chimney Rock...Kentucky Division of Forestry
National Weather Service Jackson KY
150 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EST on November 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...A dry cold front will cross through the area this
afternoon but frontal passage will be of zero consequence. Surface
high pressure will remain overhead through Monday before a series
of cold fronts brings wetting rain from Tuesday through early
Wednesday. A slight chance of thunderstorms will exist Tuesday
morning (10-20%). High pressure returns for Thanksgiving and
remains overhead through the rest of the week. Cooler and drier
air returns.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Dewpoint............44 increasing to 48 late in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...65.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
the morning.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south
around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2500 knot-ft) increasing (18900 knot-ft)
late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................5 to 35.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53 28 44 55 58 58 62 58 45 61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............42 47 51 55 59 62 63 64 65 63
Dewpoint........42 44 45 45 45 46 47 48 49 48
RH..............100 89 80 69 60 56 56 56 56 58
Aparnt tmp (F)..40 46 51 55 59 62 63 64 65 63
20 FT wind dir..E SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 13 13
Ridge wind dir..E SE SE SE S S S S S S
Ridge wind spd..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.6 0.8
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 7 8 12 12 15 14 14 14 10
LVORI...........9 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............5 7 6 15 19 35 35 33 28 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 3 4 10 13 24 25 23 19 8
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
in the evening. Rain overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Dewpoint............49.
Max apparent temp...61.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to around 20 mph
early in the morning.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2200 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 to 18.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........63 66 92 95 97 96
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 50 50 50 90 90
Temp............61 58 57 56 55 56
Dewpoint........48 50 50 50 50 50
RH..............62 75 77 80 83 80
Aparnt tmp (F)..61 58 57 56 55 56
20 ft wind......S 6 S 6 S 7 S 9 S 12 S 12
20 ft wind gust.12 12 16 18 20 21
Ridgetop wind...S 6 S 6 S 8 S 10 S 13 S 13
Mix hgt (ft)....400 400 400 600 600 700
Transport wind..S 8 S 12 S 16 S 16 S 17 S 17
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............5 8 11 14 15 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 4 6 8 9 11
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain
likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Dewpoint............54 increasing to 57 in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...66.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......South 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17800 knot-ft) increasing to marginal
(30900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing
to fair (39100 knot-ft) in the afternoon in the
afternoon, then decreasing to poor (19100
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................26 to 44.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........95 95 95 72
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY
Weather type....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).90 100 100 60
Temp............57 59 60 66
Dewpoint........52 54 57 58
RH..............83 83 87 81
Aparnt tmp (F)..57 59 60 66
20 FT wind......S 12G21 S 12G17 S 10G16 S 9G14
Ridgetop wind...S 13 S 13 S 12 SW 10
Mix hgt (ft)....900 1200 1700 1900
Transport wind..S 22 S 23 SW 21 SW 23
LVORI...........4 4 4 3
ADI.............27 33 37 43
Vrate kt-ft/1K..18 24 31 38
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR
$$
Forecaster...GINNICK
Requested by...Seth Dykes
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526509.0/JKL
.DELDT 11/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL seth.dykes@ky.gov,Trevor.garner@ky.gov