Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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668
FNUS73 KJKL 031048
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Fern bluff RX...usfs
National Weather Service Jackson KY
548 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on November 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will climb to around 15 mph today with
rain free weather. Above normal temperatures continuing into
Wednesday ahead of an approaching cold front. Showers could arrive
before dawn on Wednesday, but chances peak during the afternoon
and evening on Wednesday. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible.
At this time, rainfall totals for the burn area are forecast in the
half of an inch to three quarters of an inch range. I

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........Around 43 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 50 increasing to around 54.
Max apparent temp...Around 77.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South to southeast 4 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (3500 knot-ft) early increasing to poor
                    (23900 knot-ft) to fair (44800 knot-ft) in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............7 early, 1 to 2 late.
ADI.................10 early, increasing to 34 to 61 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   3   19  6   6   11  6   11  12  19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  55  62  67  72  75  77  77  77  75
Dewpoint........48  51  52  53  54  54  54  54  55  55
RH..............100 86  70  61  53  48  45  45  47  50
Aparnt tmp (F)..47  55  62  67  72  75  77  77  77  75
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.5   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  9   7
Ridge wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.7 3.7 4.2 4.5 3.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.9   10  9   9   10  12  12  12  12  9
LVORI...........7   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............10  11  16  21  34  50  57  61  55  11
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   7   10  14  24  37  42  45  39  8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  MG  FR  FR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) to
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). A Slight
                    chance of showers after 0400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........Around 93 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 55.
Max apparent temp...Around 72.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast to south 2 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast to south 3 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast to south 7 to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Decreasing to Poor (2300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3 to 4.
ADI.................3 to 8.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........21  23  19  27  25  31  42  40  53  41  37  45
Weather cov.....                                            SCH
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Temp............72  69  67  64  64  63  63  63  63  63  63  62
Dewpoint........55  55  56  56  55  55  55  55  55  55  55  55
RH..............55  61  68  75  73  75  75  75  75  75  75  78
Aparnt tmp (F)..72  69  67  64  64  63  63  63  63  63  63  62
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   5   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Ridge wind spd..5   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   9   10  12  12  13  13  13  13  12  12
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............3   3   4   5   5   5   8   6   8   8   5   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   2   4   5   6   5   9   9   7   8   6   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy to cloudy (70-90 percent). Showers
                    likely, then showers in the afternoon. A slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........Around 73 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 58 increasing to around 63.
Max apparent temp...Around 67.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast to south 4 to 8 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds possible near any thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast to south 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (6100 knot-ft) early increasing to poor
                    (22000 knot-ft) early to poor (32100 knot-ft)
                    in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4 to 5.
ADI.................8 early. Max 44.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  79  74  75  85  77  82  89  92  85  87  86
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  40  50  50  60  60  70  80  90  90  80  90
Chc of thdr (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............62  62  60  61  63  64  65  65  66  67  67  67
Dewpoint........56  57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  64  65  64
RH..............81  84  93  93  90  90  90  93  93  90  93  90
Aparnt tmp (F)..62  62  60  61  63  64  65  65  66  67  67  67
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.12  12  14  15  15  14  15  16  15  16  15  16
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..7   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.1 1.8 2.2 1.9 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  10  13  15  17  17  16  15  14  15  16  13
LVORI...........4   4   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............13  8   17  29  44  37  35  30  26  31  30  21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   6   12  20  31  32  32  27  22  29  27  17
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Seth Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624680.2/JKL
.DELDT 11/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL seth.thompson2@usda.gov,casey.lovell@usda.gov,conrad.mccloskey@usda.gov,brian.sayles@usda.gov