Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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215
FNUS73 KJKL 162131
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Green Ford Road Burn Unit...KDF
National Weather Service Jackson KY
431 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...After a cold start to the day on Monday, sunshine and
very low minimum relative humidity near 20 percent will prevail
in the afternoon, but winds will be much lighter than on Sunday. A
series of weather systems will then bring rain at times from
Tuesday into next weekend.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Dewpoint............26.
Min apparent temp...28.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest 1 to 3 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 1 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 to 4.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   1   1   1   1   1   2   4   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  49  44  42  40  39  37  35  33  31  30  28
Dewpoint........27  28  28  27  27  26  26  25  25  25  25  25
RH..............35  44  53  55  59  59  64  66  72  78  81  88
Aparnt tmp (F)..54  49  44  42  40  39  37  35  33  31  30  28
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.7   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ridge wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Ridge wind spd..3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.8   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   6   6   6
ADI.............4   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Dewpoint............24 decreasing to 22 in the afternoon.
Min apparent temp...27.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......North around 1 mph shifting to the west early
                    in the morning, then shifting to the southwest
                    early in the morning shifting to the northwest
                    late in the morning shifting to the north 1 to
                    3 mph increasing to around 3 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 1 to 3 mph shifting to the north 2 to
                    5 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 to 16.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   4   2   1   1   1   5   9   9   9   9   13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............28  27  30  38  44  51  55  57  59  60  58  56
Dewpoint........25  25  26  26  26  24  23  21  21  22  22  23
RH..............88  92  85  62  49  34  29  24  23  23  25  27
Aparnt tmp (F)..28  27  30  38  44  51  55  57  59  60  58  56
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   0   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.1   1   1   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   5   3
Ridge wind dir..N   W   SW  NW  NE  N   N   NW  N   N   N   N
Ridge wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.4 2.8 2.7 3.1 2.4 1.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.1   1   2   3   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   2
LVORI...........6   7   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............1   1   2   4   6   9   14  16  16  13  11  4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   0   2   4   6   9   11  11  9   7   3
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Dewpoint............27 increasing to 29 overnight.
Min apparent temp...38.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......East around 1 mph shifting to the southeast
                    late in the evening.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 1 to 2 mph shifting to the southeast 1 to
                    3 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 2.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  20  24  28  32  42  52  62  68  73  79  77
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20
Temp............51  46  45  44  42  41  40  39  38  39  40  41
Dewpoint........25  26  27  27  28  29  29  30  30  29  29  30
RH..............36  45  49  51  57  62  64  70  73  67  64  65
Aparnt tmp (F)..51  46  45  44  42  41  40  39  38  39  40  39
20 FT wind dir..N   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..0   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   5
Ridge wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Ridge wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3
ADI.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Dewpoint............31 increasing to 53.
Max apparent temp...67.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......South 2 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 12
                    to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (300 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 18.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76  75  74  75  75  74  73  72  71  69  68  72
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50
Temp............42  44  47  50  54  58  62  65  67  67  67  66
Dewpoint........30  30  32  36  39  42  45  48  50  51  52  53
RH..............62  57  56  58  57  55  54  54  54  56  59  63
Aparnt tmp (F)..40  41  45  48  54  58  62  65  67  67  67  66
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.6   7   9   13  15  17  18  18  18  18  17  16
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   6   8   10  12  12  13  13  13  14  12
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............3   4   6   9   11  13  13  14  15  16  18  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   0   1   3   5   7   9   10  11  13  8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...GINNICK
Requested by...Scott Shepherd
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526049.0/JKL
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott.shepherd@ky.gov,dwayne.anderson@ky.gov,samantha.rose@ky.gov