Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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627
FNUS73 KJKL 021054
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Fern bluff RX...usfs
National Weather Service Jackson KY
554 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...An upper level disturbance crossing the area will
bring a chance of showers this morning, with light rainfall
amounts possible. Otherwise, temperatures will moderate to about
10 degrees above normal for Tuesday into Wednesday ahead of an
approaching low pressure system. This system will bring a higher
potential for more widespread rain and higher rainfall totals from
Wednesday through early on Thursday as it crosses the burn area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy to cloudy (60-90 percent). A
                    Chance of rain showers in the morning
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........Around 60 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 50.
Max apparent temp...Around 64.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 2 to 4 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 3 to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast to south 3 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2000 knot-ft) to poor
                    (14100).
LVORI...............5 early, 2 to 4 in the afternoon.
ADI.................Max 20.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  90  88  86  87  79  83  73  58
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  20  20  10  10  10  0   10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  55  57  59  60  62  63  64  64
Dewpoint........50  50  50  51  51  50  50  51  51
RH..............89  83  77  75  72  65  62  63  63
Aparnt tmp (F)..53  55  57  59  60  62  63  64  64
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   9   9   9   9   8   7
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Ridge wind spd..3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.0 1.9 1.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   8   8   7   6   3
LVORI...........5   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   3
ADI.............6   7   9   12  16  20  16  12  3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   5   6   8   11  14  11  8   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then,
                    becoming partly cloudy (25-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........Around 93 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 51.
Max apparent temp...Around 62.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 2 to 4 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast to south 5 to 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (1800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3 early, 6 late.
ADI.................2 to 4.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  57  43  35  27  23  30  41  25  29  25  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  62  59  57  57  56  56  55  55  54  53  53
Dewpoint........52  53  53  53  53  52  52  51  51  50  50  50
RH..............70  72  80  86  86  86  86  86  86  86  89  89
Aparnt tmp (F)..62  62  59  57  57  56  56  55  55  54  53  53
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   1   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6   5   5   6   5
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Ridge wind spd..2   2   2   3   2   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   8   8
LVORI...........3   3   5   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
ADI.............2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........Around 41 percent.
Dewpoint............Around 51.
Max apparent temp...Around 76.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable, becoming south to southeast
                    3 to 6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 2 to 5 mph, becoming south to southeast
                    4 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South to southeast 8 to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2100 knot-ft) increasing to poor (25000
                    knot-ft) to fair (40300 knot-ft) in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............5 early, then 1 to 2.
ADI.................8 early increasing to 39 to 55 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  18  19  9   2   4   10  19  16  14  15  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  52  54  59  64  68  72  74  75  76  76  74
Dewpoint........50  50  51  53  53  53  53  53  52  52  52  52
RH..............89  93  90  80  67  59  51  48  45  43  43  46
Aparnt tmp (F)..53  52  54  59  64  68  72  74  75  76  76  74
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   5   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   7   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  10  8
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Ridge wind spd..2   2   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.8 3.4 3.4 4.0 3.6 0.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   10  10  10  12  13  12  10  8
LVORI...........5   6   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............8   8   10  10  16  25  39  47  52  55  45  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   4   5   11  16  25  34  38  40  32  6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...JP
Requested by...Seth Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624680.2/JKL
.DELDT 11/02/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL conrad.mccloskey@usda.gov,casey.lovell@usda.gov,seth.thompson2@usda.gov,brian.sayles@usda.gov