188
FXUS62 KKEY 160811
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
411 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 407 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025
KBYX detects widely scattered showers moving northwest at near 15
knots throughout the CWA with the Upper Keys seeing the most
activity. While some of these showers have produced heavy
rainfall, lightning activity has been essentially non existent
tonight. Temperatures across the island chain are in the lower 80s
and along the Reef winds are being recorded at near 15 knots.
Seen on MIMIC Precipitable Water, dry air is creeping into the
area which should limit more shower activity going into the
morning. Winds will start to lull throughout the day back to 10 to
15 knots.

A majority of the remainder of the week will trend similar to
what we have experienced this weekend, due to an Atlantic ridge
across the Florida Peninsula. This ridging will result in the
continuation of moderate east to southeasterlies with nightly
surges and daytime lulls. Temperatures with the steady flow will
be in the lower 80s at night and warm to the upper 80s during the
day with dew points in the mid 70s. Late this week, a change in
pattern could occur resulting in wetter conditions but this is
dependent on if a cut off upper level low is able to move westward
over Florida. For the time being due to the uncertainty, PoPs
have remained at low chance from Friday beyond. Stay tuned for
updates.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 407 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025 No watches, warnings, or
advisories are currently in effect for the Florida Keys waters.
From synopsis, Atlantic ridging will remain across the Florida
Peninsula through Friday. This will support moderate to
occasionally fresh east to southeast breezes. Winds will peak in
the evening and overnight, while lulling during the day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 407 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025 VFR conditions will prevail
at the island terminals today. Surface winds will be gentle to
moderate out of the east to southeast.

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this day in 1955, the daily record low temperature of 69F was
recorded in Key West and 68F in Marathon. Temperatures records for
Key West date back to 1872 and 1950 for Marathon.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...AP
Aviation/Nowcasts....11
Data Acquisition.....11

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