235
FXUS62 KKEY 150240
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
940 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Moderate breezes will gradually slacken to light to gentle over
 the weekend.

-Temperatures will return to near normal as high pressure weakens
 and stretches eastward into the Atlantic.

-Dry air will limit shower development through Saturday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 907 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
It has been another calm evening along the Florida Keys! Current
temperatures across island communities are near 70F, and dewpoints
are mostly in the mid 60s. This is just a little damper compared
to 24 hours ago, but it doesn`t feel terrible. Our warm weather
lovers continue to insist that it is a little chilly outside, but
all of the sunshine we saw today made it bearable. GOES-19 IR
imagery shows a similar setup to last night where we have some
patches of lower to mid level cloud cover across the CWA, but
some parts of our sky remain cloud free. The automated
observations from Key West International Airport are reporting
clear skies, but the station at Key Largo is reporting a mix of
scattered to broken cloud cover around 5,000 feet. This is
confirmed in the 00Z KKEY sounding from this evening as it showed
a deep layer of dry air in the vertical profile, but it also
showed a sliver of moisture around 5,000 feet. Northeasterly
breezes have very gradually slackened to 5 to 10 mph, and the
frequency of winds gusting has virtually disappeared. The forecast
is unfolding as expected, and no changes or updates are needed at
this time.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 907 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the
Florida Keys local waters. From synopsis, moderate breezes will
gradually slacken to light to gentle over the weekend, while high
pressure across the Southeast U.S. will gradually move across or
just north of the Florida Keys. This feature will also weaken,
allowing breezes to slacken further, becoming light and variable
Sunday and Sunday night. High pressure will then lift northward
and gradually strengthen, allowing for a slow freshening of
breezes for early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 907 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
VFR conditions will prevail at both terminals with northeasterly
to easterly breezes between 5 and 10 knots. Weather conditions
will remain dry, and skies will mostly be FEW to SCT near FL050.
Conditions impacting flight categories are not expected through
the TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  70  80  71  80 /   0   0   0  10
Marathon  69  78  70  78 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...DP
Aviation/Nowcasts....DP
Data Acquisition.....MC

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