Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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653
FXUS62 KKEY 111923
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
323 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for all Florida Keys.
 The combination of the current King Tide cycle and persistent
 bouts of rainfall will support additional flooding over roadways
 and low lying lots. Coastal flooding will likely continue through
 the holiday weekend.

-First taste of Fall returns to the Keys in the wake of today`s
 frontal passage. Drier air filtering in behind will promote
 rapidly decreasing rain chances into next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 318 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Shower coverage will completely diminished into the evening and
winds will steadily become more northwest to north in the wake of
the recent frontal passage. Any additional MVFR CIGs will be
temporary as drier air slowly filters in across the terminals
overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1047 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
From synopsis, an elongated area of low pressure across the Keys will
continue slowly drifting northeastward today. This will support
one more day of well above normal rain chances along with south to
southwesterly light to gentle breezes gradually backing to the
northwest to north tonight and Sunday. This low will continue
organizing and strengthening as it heads northeastward adjacent to
the Mid- Atlantic coast. As it does this, it will drive an early
season cold front towards the Keys, further shifting winds to the
north to northeast. Northerly swells will be possible in our
western marine zones today and tonight due to the influence of the
low pressure system. In the wake of the front, high pressure
builds across the eastern United States leading to freshening
northeasterly breezes heading towards mid- week.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory for FLZ076>078.

GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...LIW/BT
Aviation/Nowcasts....LIW/BT
Data Acquisition.....DR/BT

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