Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
544 FXUS62 KKEY 021446 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1046 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1046 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025 While still a rainy day across the Florida Keys, for the time being, KAMX radar reveals the island chain currently shower free. Elsewhere, scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms continue to progress through the distant Straits and deep Gulf waters. Due to an increase in cloud coverage, and showers passing over the island chain earlier this morning, the temperatures on land sit currently in the mid to upper 80s. Across the Reef, winds are northwest at near 10 knots. Going into this afternoon, winds in the Upper Keys are expected to surge as the broad surface low works in tandem with a stationary front over the east coast of Florida. This low and front will remain in place through the next few days, therefore this afternoon surge pattern is forecast to continue,mainly for the Upper Keys through the short term. Shower activity and coverage will pick up this afternoon as the forecast goes from chance of showers to showers likely late this afternoon into the evening. Once again, the pattern is expected through the next few days as the moisture in our area holds over us. && .MARINE... Issued at 1046 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025 No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect in the Florida Keys waters. From synopsis, a broad surface low situated along a stationary front sits off the Florida East coast, east of Lake Okeechobee with the Keys lying to the south of this boundary. This is maintaining west to northwest winds across the Florida Keys coastal waters. The low and front will remain rooted in place through the next few days with undulating winds varying between northwest and southwest. Localized wind surges will be possible off the Upper Keys each afternoon starting today and going through Thursday. In addition, abundant moisture will promote above normal rain and thunder chances through the end of the week. && .AVIATION... (15Z TAFS) Issued at 1046 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at EYW and MTH through early afternoon. As showers continue to develop in the deep Gulf waters and move southeasterly, either terminal could have a decrease in visibilities and ceilings as they move through. For the time being, VCSH is included at both locations and if/when needed TEMPOs will be added to account for VIS/CIG changes. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...AP Aviation/Nowcasts....AP Data Acquisition.....AP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest