Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
133 FXUS62 KKEY 151539 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1139 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1129 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Surface analysis depicts an expansive surface high pressure system extending across the North Atlantic, with the axis of the associated ridge bisecting the Florida Peninsula. The 12z morning sounding at KEY depicted rising geopotential heights from the surface to about 700 mb. Much of the earlier diurnal showers in the Straits of Florida have dissipated, with KBYX radar detecting very few meteorological echo returns at this late morning hour. Temperatures are quickly rising into the upper 80s, with visible satellite imagery detecting mostly sunny skies across the Keys. For the balance of today, measurable rain chances remain quite low, and would be near-nil except for the moderate to fresh east to southeast breezes over very warm sea surface temperatures promoting enhanced boundary layer moisture fluxes. No changes proposed to the inherited overnight full forecast package. && .MARINE... Issued at 1129 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025 No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently in effect for the coastal waters of the Florida Keys. From synopsis, Atlantic ridging will remain across Florida for the next several days. This will support moderate to occasionally fresh breezes. Winds will peak in the evening and overnight, while lulling during the day. && .AVIATION... (15Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF. While a passing shower cannot be ruled out, frequency of popcorn- variety convection continues to decline. Near surface winds will remain out of the east to southeast at 9 to 11 knots, with occasional gusts 18 to 20 knots. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 88 82 88 81 / 10 20 20 20 Marathon 89 82 89 82 / 20 20 20 20 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...BT Aviation/Nowcasts....BT Data Acquisition.....BT Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest