Coastal Waters Forecast
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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FZUS52 KKEY 032040
CWFKEY

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Florida Keys
National Weather Service Key West FL
440 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

Florida Bay, Hawk Channel and Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef
to south of Dry Tortugas, and the extreme southeastern Gulf of
America, including The Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary

Seas are given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

Wave Detail will include details about the period and direction
of origin for the highest energy waves. Long-period swells coming
from a different direction than the wind would be included in the
Wave Detail.

GMZ005-040845-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
440 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure is slowly moving across the eastern
U.S., which will maintain a northeast wind across our waters.
This high will build into the western North Atlantic, leading to
freshening northeast to east breezes into Friday evening. Winds
will then briefly clock around towards the southeast for the
upcoming weekend and return from the east early next week. Another
period of moderate to fresh breezes is possible starting Monday
night. Expect an active weather pattern with winds and seas
expected to be higher in and around thunderstorms.

The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of October
01...

42 NM South of Dry Tortugas Light...on Loggerhead Key.
33 NM South of Cosgrove Shoal Light...off the Marquesas Keys.
33 NM South of Sand Key Light...off Key West.
35 NM South of Looe Key...off Big Pine Key.
16 NM Southeast of Sombrero Key Light...off Marathon.
10 NM Southeast of Alligator Reef Light...off Islamorada.
 6 NM Southeast of Molasses Reef Light...off Key Largo.
 5 NM Southeast of Carysfort Reef Light...off Ocean Reef.

Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the National Weather Service in
Key West based on products from NASA SPoRT.

$$

GMZ031-040845-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
440 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS DECREASE...

.TONIGHT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming north to
northeast 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bay waters choppy,
becoming a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...West to northwest winds near 10 knots, becoming south
to southwest in the afternoon. Bay waters a light chop. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds near 10 knots. Bay waters a light
chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...South to southwest winds near 10 knots. Bay waters a
light chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds near 10 knots. Bay waters a light
chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Bay waters a
light chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay
waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...Northeast to east winds near 15 knots. Bay waters a
moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay
waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters
choppy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay
waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ032-035-040845-
Bayside and Gulfside from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf of America from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
440 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS DECREASE...

.TONIGHT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15
knots late. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Nearshore waters choppy, becoming a
light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...Northeast to east winds near 10 knots, becoming south
to southwest 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a
light chop, becoming smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds increasing to near 10 knots. Seas 1
to 2 feet. Nearshore waters becoming a light chop. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...South to southwest winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Nearshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
Nearshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1
foot. Nearshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds increasing to 10 to 15
knots. Seas building to 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters becoming a
light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to
2 feet. Nearshore waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds increasing to 15 to 20
knots. Seas building to 2 to 3 feet, except building to 3 to 4
feet west of the Marquesas Keys. Nearshore waters becoming
choppy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to
3 feet, except 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet west of the
Marquesas Keys. Nearshore waters choppy. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas
2 to 3 feet. West of the Marquesas Keys, seas 2 to 3 feet,
building to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet after midnight.
Nearshore waters choppy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ042>044-040845-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
440 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS DECREASE...

.TONIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to
near 15 knots. Seas subsiding to 2 to 3 feet. Nearshore waters
choppy, becoming a moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...Northwest to north winds near 10 knots, becoming
south to southwest 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1
to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a light chop, becoming smooth to a
light chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to
15 knots. Seas building to around 2 feet. Nearshore waters smooth
to a light chop, becoming a light to moderate chop. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...South winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore
waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Nearshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore
waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds increasing to 10 to 15
knots. Seas building to 2 to 3 feet. Nearshore waters becoming a
light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...Northeast to east winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3
feet. Nearshore waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas
building to 3 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters choppy. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to
4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Nearshore waters choppy.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas
3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Nearshore waters choppy.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ053>055-073>075-040845-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
440 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION...

.TONIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming east
to southeast 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 6 feet, occasionally to 7
feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 4 feet at 6 seconds. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South to southwest winds near 10 knots, briefly
decreasing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet,
occasionally to 5 feet, subsiding to 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail:
Northeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to
15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: East to southeast 2 feet
at 6 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...South to southwest winds near 10 knots, becoming
southeast 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2
feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds increasing to near 10 knots. Seas
building to around 2 feet. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East winds near 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to
3 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...Northeast to east winds increasing to near 15 knots.
Seas 2 to 4 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas
building to 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to
6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas
4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ052-072-040845-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
440 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming east
to southeast 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 7 feet in a north swell.
Seas subsiding to 3 to 6 feet overnight. Wave Detail: Northeast 4
feet at 6 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South to southwest winds near 10 knots, briefly
decreasing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet,
occasionally to 5 feet, subsiding to 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail:
Northeast 3 feet at 6 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to
15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: East to southeast 2 feet
at 6 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...South to southwest winds near 10 knots, becoming
southeast 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2
feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds increasing to near 10 knots. Seas
building to around 2 feet. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East winds near 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to
3 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...Northeast to east winds increasing to near 15 knots.
Seas 2 to 4 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas
building to 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to
6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas
4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ033-034-040845-
Gulf of America from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM
out and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of America including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
440 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS DECREASE...

.TONIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to
near 15 knots late. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet.
Wave Detail: Northeast to east 4 feet at 5 seconds. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming
southeast to south 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally
to 5 feet, subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: North to
northeast 3 feet at 5 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots,
becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave Detail:
North 1 foot at 4 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...South to southwest winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to
2 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Southeast to south winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to
2 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1
foot. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds increasing to 10 to 15
knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to around 2 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds increasing to 15 to 20
knots. Seas building to 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to
4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas
2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.

$$