Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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139
FNUS52 KKEY 220907
FWFKEY

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the Florida Keys
National Weather Service Key West FL
507 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

.Discussion...
A wet and stormy weather pattern is expected through at least
Thursday as tropical moisture from the Caribbean spreads northward
into the area. This pattern will bring rain chances as high as
80% into Wednesday. Surface winds will be mainly light to gentle
mostly out of the south this week but wind speeds may briefly
increase to moderate at times, particularly in the evening and
overnight hours. Wind will then become more northerly by the end
of the week in the wake of a weak cold front that moves through
the area. In addition, drier air will filter into the region in
the wake of the frontal passage late in the week, though
precipitation chances still linger into the weekend as the frontal
boundary stalls just to our south in the Straits offshore of
Cuba.

FLZ076>078-222330-
Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys-
Including the cities of Key Largo, Marathon, and Key West
507 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance Precip (%)     60           70           80
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           50
Weather Type          Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Max/Min Temp          89           77           88
Min/Max RH %          71           94           71
Wind 20ft AM (mph)    S  8                      S  8
Wind 20ft PM (mph)    S 10         S  9         S  5
Precip Duration       9            9            12
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Amount         0.51         0.37         0.57
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3100         1700         2700
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 16         S 13         SW 10
Dispersion Index      31           19           28
Max LVORI             4            4            4

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 80. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 80. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph.

$$