727
FXUS63 KLBF 210531
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1131 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain chances tonight, greatest rainfall amounts south of
  interstate 80.
- Fog potential tonight into early Friday morning

- Another chance for precipitation Sunday night and Monday

- Temperatures will be above normal this weekend with highs in
  the upper 50s to 60s.

- Cool down after Monday with highs in the upper 30s to 40s

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 444 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025

The main concern in the short term will be rain
potential and fog development. As far as precipitation goes, the
greatest confidence in rainfall continues to be across southwest
Nebraska, generally along and south of interstate 80, with lesser
confidence going into the southern Sandhills. Do not expect
precipitation to spread further north then central Sandhills. SoTs
indicates that the greatest potential for abnormal qpf values will
stay south in Kansas, which is more of a southward trend from
previous forecast. As far as qpf values northward into southwest
Nebraska probabilities greater than 50 percent that we could see
half an inch or greater south of I-80 with lesser amounts the
further north you go. There is generally good consensus with
the probability greater than 75 percent of seeing at least a
0.10 along the I-80 corridor.

The next concern will be fog development this evening into the
overnight. Low level moisture and winds will influence an
environment conducive for fog development along the edge of where
the precip shield develops. This could include the I-80 corridor
into portions of Sandhills east into Custer County. Headlines for
fog may be needed tonight into tomorrow morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 444 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025

For this weekend, it will be mostly dry through Sunday
afternoon with WAA on Saturday and Sunday helping to drive
temperatures into the upper 50s to low 60s. This is around 15 to 20
degrees above normal for this time of year. Sunday night a upper
level trof will begin to move eastward into the area and bringing
another chance for widespread precipitation. Temperatures will turn
cooler as a cold front moves into the area Tuesday with highs only
the upper 30s to low 40s which is near normal for this time of year.
As of right now precipitation chances remain low through
Thanksgiving morning.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1131 PM CST Thu Nov 20 2025

Stratus continues across southwest Nebraska and the Sandhills,
bringing IFR and LIFR ceilings. Further to the north, drier air in
the lower layers is keeping the lower ceilings and fog out of
portions of northern Nebraska, allowing VFR conditions to prevail.
Overnight, winds remain light and variable. With the precipitation
shield across southwest Nebraska, potential still exists for fog
develop overnight, with greatest potential across the Sandhills.
However, with rainfall and mid cloud cover, guidance has trended
down fog intensity overnight and slightly improved ceiling
forecasts. Even with those changes, IFR to LIFR conditions will
persist under the stratus shield. Further north, conditions may drop
to MVFR and briefly to IFR as stratus lifts north during the early
morning hours. By mid to late morning, conditions should begin to
improve across the region to MVFR and VFR conditions.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Richie