495
FXUS63 KLBF 300748
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
248 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy fog and light drizzle today into tonight, mainly across
  southwest Nebraska into eastern areas, along with a chance for
  showers.

- After a dry start on Sunday, precipitation chances increase
  Sunday night through Tuesday evening. At this time,
  precipitation is expected to remain rain.

- Cooler, dryer conditions return after a cold front tracks
  through the region. Mid to late week, temperatures are
  expected to drop into the low 50s to upper 40s, with little to
  no precipitation expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 247 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Today and Tonight...A weak warm front will slowly lift through
southern Nebraska today. Patchy fog, and light drizzle is expected
north of the warm front across southwest and central Nebraska today,
along with a chance for light rain showers near and west of highway
83. Some elevated instability will support a slight chance for
thunderstorms in central NE in the afternoon. Highs 55 to 60. A
shortwave trough will lift north from the Texas panhandle/western OK
into southern KS today, and from northern KS into central and
eastern NE Friday night. This will bring lows chances for showers
(20-30 percent)to areas mainly east of Highway 83 overnight.
Rainfall amounts look to be fairly light today and tonight, only
from a trace up to a tenth of an inch.

Saturday and Saturday night...A second shortwave trough will lift
northeast from Kansas into eastern Nebraska. While stratus with
patchy fog and drizzle will again be possible, additional low
chances for showers will also exist for southeastern areas through
Saturday night (generally east of a line from Imperial through
O`Neill). Highs Saturday will range in the mid to upper 50s, except
low 60s far northern Nebraska. South winds will be breezy at 15 to
25 mph. Lows Saturday night in the mid to upper 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 247 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Sunday, an upper level trough is expected to track across the
western United States, bringing another stream of Pacific moisture
across the region. Throughout the day, a low pressure system is
expected to develop and deepen across eastern Colorado. With the
moisture streaming into the region, expecting cloud cover to persist
throughout the day, which will limit high temperatures mostly to the
upper 50s to lower 60s. While the low develops throughout the day,
not expecting much in the way of precipitation, but may see some
gusty southerly winds as the low deepens. However, by the evening,
expecting that the low will begin to lift, bringing precipitation
chances across the region. The low is expected to slowly track
across the region, keeping rain showers around on throughout the day
Monday, with highs again in the 50s to lower 60s. As a shortwave
develops in the northern jet stream, expecting another low pressure
to track east across the Dakotas, which will bring a cold front into
the region. There is still some slight timing differences in models,
but appears that the front should track through sometime Tuesday
morning. As the front tracks through, this should give one more shot
of precipitation across the region, with cooler temperatures
settling in. As of now, temperatures are expected to remain just
above freezing, and appears that any precipitation falling should
remain liquid precipitation. Showers may linger through the day on
Tuesday, especially areas east of Highway 83. However, by Tuesday
evening, expecting that precipitation should track out of the
region.

Through the rest of the week, cooler air remains in the wake of the
cold front. Highs should drop back into the lower 50s, and
potentially into the upper 40s by the end of the week. Lows are also
expected to drop back around freezing each night. This is not too
out of the ordinary for early November. In fact, local climatology
shows that our typical highs are in the mid to upper 50s, with lows
in the mid 20s across the region for early November. Precipitation
chances also appear low Wednesday through late week, but will be
keeping an eye on a potential upper level disturbance next weekend,
which may bring additional precipitation chances.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

A stratus deck is currently observed across western and north
central Nebraska, which is expected to persist throughout the
effective TAF period. Widespread MVFR to IFR conditions are expected
overnight, with conditions persisting through the day. However, VFR
conditions are expected to remain for portions of the state near the
South Dakota border overnight, but by morning, expect that the
stratus will impact the north as well. There is also potential for
some patchy fog development across southwest Nebraska overnight, so
will be keeping a close eye on observations during the overnight
hours. Amendments may be needed if fog becomes more dense.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Richie
AVIATION...Richie