Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
987
FXUS41 KWNC 171231
POELCA
COOLING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 17 SEP 2026
VALID: OCTOBER - DECEMBER 2026
...COOLING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3. N NEW YORK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7
4. S NEW ENGLAND 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 6 7 9 10 12
5. E GRT LAKES 3
0 0 0 0 1 3 4 6 7 8 10 12 14
6. OHIO 11
0 0 0 5 10 15 13 16 18 20 22 24 27
7. MID-ATL COAST 16
0 1 5 12 19 26 20 22 25 28 34 39 44
8. N APPALACHNS 4
0 0 0 0 0 1 5 8 9 9 11 13 15
9. CENT APPALACHNS 10
0 0 0 4 7 11 11 15 16 17 20 23 28
10. COASTL VIRG 39
19 22 25 30 35 39 43 48 53 60 70 79 90
11. S APPALACHNS 22
0 1 5 13 20 28 24 29 32 37 43 50 57
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 102
60 68 76 88 96 104 112 121 130 143 161 178 198
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 57
30 36 41 47 53 57 62 67 74 81 94 104 117
14. UPPER MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 4 4
15. N MINN 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3
16. E NORTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 5 6 7 9
17. W NORTH DAK 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 9 10
18. E MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7
19. N-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 5
20. S-CENT MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 4
21. W MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22. N-CENT MICH 3
0 0 0 0 0 2 5 7 8 9 9 10 10
23. S MICH 8
0 0 0 0 3 8 10 15 16 18 21 24 26
24. E-CENT ILL 18
0 0 1 9 16 23 21 26 29 32 37 41 47
25. N ILL 10
0 0 0 3 8 13 13 18 19 20 22 23 25
26. N WISC 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 7 7 7 7 7
27. SE MINN 3
0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 8 9 11 12 14
28. E SOUTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 7 9 11 13 16
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 10 13 16 20
30. W SOUTH DAK 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 13 16 19
31. NE WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3
32. NW WYOMING 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 37
33. E IOWA 12
0 0 1 8 14 20 16 18 20 22 24 26 27
34. NW IOWA 6
0 0 0 0 1 5 7 11 13 15 19 22 27
35. CENT NEBRASKA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 11 16 19 24
36. S NEBRASKA 13
0 0 0 3 8 13 14 20 23 26 31 36 42
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 9 11
38. E KENTUCKY 24
0 0 3 11 20 28 25 32 35 40 48 55 63
39. W KENTUCKY 34
0 1 9 22 34 45 37 43 47 53 62 69 78
40. SE MISSOURI 30
0 0 4 17 30 42 36 42 47 52 60 67 73
41. NE MISSOURI 24
0 0 0 9 18 27 26 35 38 42 48 53 60
42. NW MISSOURI 29
0 0 7 19 29 40 34 40 44 48 54 59 66
43. E KANSAS 38
0 0 4 20 34 48 43 52 57 64 75 84 94
44. CENT KANSAS 29
0 0 2 13 23 33 30 39 44 51 61 69 79
45. W KANSAS 16
0 0 0 3 9 16 16 23 26 31 40 47 56
46. NE COLO 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 7 8 10
47. SE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8
48. W COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49. SW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50. CENT TENN 46
24 27 30 34 38 42 47 53 59 68 82 95 111
51. W TENN 68
32 38 45 54 61 67 73 79 86 95 108 120 134
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 48
0 0 12 30 48 65 53 61 66 73 84 94 107
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 61
0 3 15 37 57 76 66 78 85 94 106 117 132
54. TX W OF ABILENE 81
0 2 20 49 77 104 91 110 118 130 147 162 181
55. N HI PLAINS TX 26
0 0 0 2 14 26 28 40 44 52 62 72 83
56. N GEORGIA 83
49 55 60 68 75 81 87 95 103 113 130 145 164
57. N ALABAMA 96
54 62 69 79 88 95 103 112 121 134 152 168 189
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 120
70 78 87 99 109 118 127 137 148 162 183 201 225
59. S ARKANSAS 96
50 59 68 79 88 96 104 112 120 131 147 162 181
60. E TX 136
74 86 98 113 125 136 146 158 170 186 210 231 256
61. DALLAS REG TX 136
75 88 101 118 130 140 149 159 171 184 204 222 244
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 278
183 205 225 250 270 287 303 321 339 362 395 423 456
63. FAR S TX 383
267 294 319 351 376 398 418 439 462 489 528 560 599
64. W-CENT TX 143
82 96 108 125 137 148 158 170 182 196 217 235 256
65. W TX PANHANDLE 82
0 3 23 59 91 122 103 121 131 143 161 176 194
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 236
154 170 184 205 221 236 251 267 284 306 337 365 398
67. CENT FLA 527
391 423 453 490 520 545 569 595 623 658 709 752 803
68. S FLA 737
567 608 644 690 724 754 782 811 843 881 934 978 1030
69. FLA PANHANDLE 185
122 133 144 159 171 182 193 205 219 239 267 291 320
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 222
137 152 167 188 204 220 235 251 269 291 323 350 382
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 245
161 180 198 222 240 256 272 288 307 329 360 387 419
72. NW WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 7
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 4 5
74. CENT WASH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 5 6 7
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4
76. COASTL WASH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11
77. E IDAHO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
79. SW IDAHO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6
80. E OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 7 8
82. OREG COAST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
83. NE UTAH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3
84. SE UTAH 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 12 14 17 21
85. W UTAH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 7
86. NE NEVADA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
87. NW NEVADA 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10 12 14
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 18
0 0 0 3 13 22 23 31 35 39 46 52 60
89. N CALIF COAST 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 15 17 18 20
90. CENT NEVADA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 9 11 13 16
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 45
0 0 0 14 36 58 61 82 89 99 113 124 138
92. CENT CALIF COAST 17
0 0 0 0 6 19 23 33 36 41 47 52 58
93. S CALIF COAST 72
42 50 57 68 76 83 91 99 108 120 136 150 167
94. SE CALIF 142
91 107 118 132 142 152 162 172 183 197 218 237 264
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 111
86 99 111 126 136 144 152 160 169 181 197 211 228
96. SW ARIZONA 214
145 166 185 209 227 243 258 272 288 307 335 357 384
97. NE ARIZONA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 14 16
98. SE ARIZONA 69
0 4 24 58 88 116 99 117 126 137 152 167 184
99. N NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
100. E NEW MEX 14
0 0 0 1 8 14 16 22 25 30 37 44 53
101. CENT NEW MEX 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 5 6 8 10
102. S NEW MEX 20
0 0 0 12 23 34 29 35 40 46 56 65 76
$$