Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
865
FXUS44 KWNC 161231
POELCD
COOLING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 16 OCT 2025
VALID: FEBRUARY - APRIL 2026
...COOLING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
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1. N NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
3. N NEW YORK 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
4. S NEW ENGLAND 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 4
5. E GRT LAKES 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 6 8
6. OHIO 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 9 11 15 20 25
7. MID-ATL COAST 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 12 17 22 27
8. N APPALACHNS 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 10
9. CENT APPALACHNS 5
0 0 0 0 2 4 5 7 8 10 14 18 22
10. COASTL VIRG 17
0 1 4 10 16 22 19 25 30 35 43 50 58
11. S APPALACHNS 13
0 0 1 6 11 16 15 20 22 25 30 35 41
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 68
48 50 53 58 63 70 78 86 95 106 123 138 157
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 45
30 33 36 40 43 47 51 56 61 69 82 94 108
14. UPPER MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6
15. N MINN 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 6 8
16. E NORTH DAK 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 6 8 11
17. W NORTH DAK 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 3 3 4 8
18. E MONT 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 9 10 13
19. N-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 5
20. S-CENT MONT 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 9
21. W MONT 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22. N-CENT MICH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 10
23. S MICH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 10 15 21
24. E-CENT ILL 8
0 0 0 0 0 4 6 9 12 16 23 32 43
25. N ILL 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 8 15 23
26. N WISC 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6 10 14
27. SE MINN 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 7 10 14 19
28. E SOUTH DAK 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 8 10 14 20
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 10 16 21 24
30. W SOUTH DAK 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 10 14 17
31. NE WYOMING 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 7
32. NW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6
33. E IOWA 7
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 10 16 23 32
34. NW IOWA 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 8 10 15 21 30
35. CENT NEBRASKA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 11 15 20
36. S NEBRASKA 13
0 0 0 0 1 6 7 13 17 23 32 40 48
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 26 26
38. E KENTUCKY 16
0 0 0 2 7 12 15 22 25 29 36 42 51
39. W KENTUCKY 26
0 1 5 13 22 30 26 31 36 42 53 63 75
40. SE MISSOURI 28
11 13 14 17 20 23 27 31 36 42 54 65 77
41. NE MISSOURI 18
0 0 0 1 8 14 14 20 24 31 41 51 63
42. NW MISSOURI 21
0 0 2 7 14 20 17 22 28 35 47 58 71
43. E KANSAS 33
13 15 16 19 23 26 30 34 40 47 60 72 87
44. CENT KANSAS 25
0 0 3 9 15 22 20 27 32 39 50 61 73
45. W KANSAS 16
0 0 0 3 8 12 13 18 22 27 35 41 50
46. NE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 5 5
47. SE COLO 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 6
48. W COLO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49. SW WYOMING 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50. CENT TENN 38
28 29 30 31 33 35 38 42 46 53 63 73 86
51. W TENN 66
34 39 43 50 55 60 66 72 80 90 107 123 142
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 46
22 24 27 31 35 38 43 49 56 64 77 88 103
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 58
26 30 34 40 45 52 58 65 73 82 97 111 127
54. TX W OF ABILENE 90
50 57 63 71 78 85 91 99 108 120 138 155 176
55. N HI PLAINS TX 30
0 2 8 19 30 41 34 39 44 49 58 66 76
56. N GEORGIA 70
49 52 55 60 65 71 78 87 96 108 125 141 161
57. N ALABAMA 82
60 63 67 73 78 83 91 99 108 120 137 153 173
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 126
86 94 102 112 121 129 137 146 156 169 191 210 233
59. S ARKANSAS 102
61 66 71 79 85 94 103 113 123 136 156 173 194
60. E TX 145
89 100 109 122 132 141 150 161 172 188 211 232 257
61. DALLAS REG TX 137
74 84 94 109 120 131 141 152 165 181 204 224 249
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 280
177 199 220 248 270 289 307 328 349 376 416 450 491
63. FAR S TX 465
306 341 376 419 453 482 509 539 571 610 665 711 767
64. W-CENT TX 171
101 115 129 147 161 173 186 200 215 234 261 285 314
65. W TX PANHANDLE 103
61 75 88 105 118 130 142 155 169 185 209 230 255
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 199
147 158 168 182 196 209 221 236 252 272 304 332 365
67. CENT FLA 414
309 339 367 402 428 452 475 500 527 561 613 659 715
68. S FLA 554
430 468 503 548 582 613 642 675 708 751 811 863 923
69. FLA PANHANDLE 169
127 137 146 158 169 179 189 202 216 233 259 283 313
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 211
152 165 177 196 212 227 241 257 274 297 330 360 394
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 226
152 169 187 211 229 245 261 279 298 321 355 384 419
72. NW WASH 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2
74. CENT WASH 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 11 12 13
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26
76. COASTL WASH 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
77. E IDAHO 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
79. SW IDAHO 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 14 15 17
80. E OREG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 6
82. OREG COAST 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
83. NE UTAH 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 5 6
84. SE UTAH 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 16 18 19 21 22
85. W UTAH 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 10 11 13
86. NE NEVADA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 22
87. NW NEVADA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 8 10
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 12
0 0 0 0 0 6 14 21 24 27 31 35 40
89. N CALIF COAST 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 20 21 23
90. CENT NEVADA 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 8 9 11 13 15
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 31
0 0 0 7 22 38 39 52 58 67 77 87 99
92. CENT CALIF COAST 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 20 23 27 31 35
93. S CALIF COAST 34
0 1 11 27 42 57 46 53 59 69 83 98 118
94. SE CALIF 139
66 82 98 119 135 150 165 181 198 219 250 277 310
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 108
82 94 105 119 130 139 148 159 170 183 204 222 244
96. SW ARIZONA 197
143 161 177 199 215 230 243 258 275 295 323 348 376
97. NE ARIZONA 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 7 9
98. SE ARIZONA 51
34 41 48 58 66 73 80 88 96 107 124 139 157
99. N NEW MEX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
100. E NEW MEX 21
0 1 6 15 24 32 27 32 35 38 42 46 51
101. CENT NEW MEX 3
0 0 0 0 1 3 4 6 7 7 8 9 10
102. S NEW MEX 22
0 0 0 8 21 34 36 49 53 58 65 71 78
$$