Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
585 FXUS64 KLCH 131117 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 517 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Temperatures over the period will become well above normal with little to no rain chances until this weekend into early next work week. - Rain returns early next week with increasing chances of widespread showers and thunderstorms. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 515 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Upper level ridging is beginning to set in overnight bringing about clear and calm conditions. With moisture pooling into the region and radiational cooling, areas of patchy fog are expected to develop for most of the area through morning. Fog production should be limited as winds in the upper boundary layer are still somewhat elevated (as seen by movement of cloud layer on satellite imagery.) However, if these boundary layer winds are able to diminish, there could be patchy to isolated areas of dense fog intermixed. At this time, a Dense Fog Advisory does not appear necessary, but one may come if that changes. Otherwise, a very warm and mostly clear Thursday is on tap. Expect much of the same over the short term period. Moisture moving in, height rises beneath high pressure leading to temps well above average in the upper 70s to around 80 each day and morning chances of fog. 11 && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Wednesday) Issued at 515 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Pattern shift starts to take place on Sunday as high pressure ridge begins moving off to the east and as the first of several upper lows arrive to the Rocky Mountain corridor. Sunday should largely remain dry with high pressure influence. By Monday, the first wave should be moving into the central Plains and moving north, shunted northward by remaining high pressure influence. Falling heights combined with area moisture should be enough to allow for scattered rain chances Monday. High pressure strengthens over Florida/Georgia and radiates out into the northwest Gulf from Tuesday into the late part of the week. This feature will act to deflect the parade of waves to the north of the CWA for the most part. Latest guidance has come in with lower rainfall totals, likely owing to this feature. Forecast guidance does bring a plume of moisture into the heart of the forecast area towards the middle of the week which should assist with an increase of storm coverage and rainfall efficiency with the next robust wave passage on Thursday. 11 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 515 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Areas of patchy fog will continue through roughly 14Z, mainly near LCH. After fog burns off VFR conditions and light southerly winds will prevail throughout the day and into the overnight hours. Tonight, winds again become calm which, after a couple of days of moisture return, should allow for fog to form at most sites. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 79 54 80 54 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 78 59 78 60 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 78 56 79 57 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 80 60 79 60 / 0 0 0 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...11 LONG TERM....11 AVIATION...17