Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
942 FXUS64 KLCH 172331 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 631 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Onshore flow will slowly filter Gulf moisture inland through Saturday night. - Chances for precipitation increase a little this afternoon with more notable chances developing Saturday into early Sunday as a frontal boundary approaches. - Temperatures will remain above normal through Saturday with slightly cooler highs / lows on Sunday, then trending warmer into following work week. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 The surface ridge and ridge aloft that has been over the area the past week has finally shifted to the Atlantic coast this afternoon. The return flow around the surface ridge has pushed dewpoints into the 60s to near 70 area wide. The upper ridge`s grip and slackened a bit to allow a few showers across SE TX. Through the afternoon moisture will continue to stream north ahead of an approaching cold front that is over the central plains, and isolated showers over SE TX will continue to near sunset. Moisture will increase farther into Saturday as and upper disturbance and associated cold front moves closer. Scattered afternoon storms will be possible followed by a broken line of thunderstorm through the evening and early Sunday morning. While the best dynamics will remain north of the area, an isolated severe storm will be possible from afternoon through the evening. The main threat, which will generally be north of I-10, is gusty winds to around 60mph. Behind the cold front, CAA will usher in a cooler and drier airmass Sunday afternoon into Monday. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through next Thursday) Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 High pressure will quickly move across the Lower Mississippi Valley Monday turning the flow back onshore by afternoon. This will occur as another cold front and low pressure sweeps across the plains. Temperatures and moisture will quickly increase Tuesday then fall again as the next front moves through during the middle of the week. Low end rain chances will be possible as this occurs will mild and dry conditions forecast for the second half of the coming week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Conditions will remain VFR through the local midnight hour. Winds will remain out of the south becoming light before picking up after sunrise. VCSH and VCTS become possible by early afternoon tomorrow. && .MARINE... Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Tonight into Fri, winds will begin to increase slightly, with gusts around 15-18 kts. Now through the weekend, waves will range 1 - 3 ft. Rain chances will continue until the passage of a cold front on Sunday. Brief offshore flow will take place before resuming onshore Monday afternoon. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Established onshore flow will elevate minimum RH today, however, afternoon RH may still fall below 50% across portions of CenLA. Currently, multiple parishes have burn bans in place across Acadiana along with counties in southeast Texas. Conditions will start to improve further Saturday under south winds with continued moisture advection. Rain chances will increase this weekend with the approach and passage of an upper trough and cold front. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 62 89 64 78 / 0 50 80 10 LCH 70 86 70 83 / 0 60 60 10 LFT 67 86 69 83 / 0 50 60 20 BPT 71 87 68 84 / 0 50 40 10 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...30