647
FXUS64 KLCH 100552
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1152 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Well below normal temperatures will last into Tuesday. Portions
  of the region will likely receive their first freeze.

- Hazardous marine conditions will continue into Monday evening.

- A Red Flag Warning is in place today given elevated winds, low
  RH, and antecedent dry conditions making dry fuels easily
  ignitable.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1152 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Canadian high pressure stretches from the gulf coast, across the
central sections of the CONUS, and into south central Canada. Well
below normal temperatures have descended into the eastern half of
the CONUS with freeze warnings posted from central Texas across
the Florida Panhandle and into the coast of the Carolinas.

Cold temperatures will continue to advect into the area tonight
on north winds. A light freeze will be possible from roughly
Woodville, to Jasper, to Alexandria at sunrise this morning.
Dewpoints will fall into the mid teens to low 20s Monday as temps
struggle to warm into the low 50s to around 60. While temps will
be chilly, moderate north winds and a very dry airmass will make
fire weather a concern.

The coldest temperatures will be Tuesday morning with much of the
inland area falling to or below freezing, but high pressure will
quickly exit east from Tuesday into Wednesday. Temperatures and
moisture will increase into mid week with lows Wednesday morning
10 to 20 degrees higher than the previous 24 hours.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1152 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

The return flow will be in full swing by Thursday. Highs will be
back in the upper 70s to low 80s or around 5 degrees above climo
norms. The warm and humid conditions will last through the first
half of the weekend until another cold front enters the region
late Saturday. Rain chances will increase Saturday and remain
elevated until the front departs Sunday. Temperatures will cool
back down to around climo norms for Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1152 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

VFR conditions are anticipated through the period. North winds
will be gusty during the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1152 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Winds will gradually decrease through today, however a gale
warning will be in effect for the gulf waters tonight and a small
craft adv will remain in place through Monday afternoon. North
winds will push tides back down to around -1 MLLW at low tide
around noon today.

Offshore winds will swing back onshore during Tuesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1152 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Due to critical combination of enhanced winds, low RH, and dry
antecedent conditions, elevated fire weather conditions will
persist Today. RH values will fall into 20 to 30 percent range
while, 20-foot winds will be from the north around 10 to 20 MPH
with gusts to 25. Moisture will increase by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  67  31  53  29 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  71  38  57  35 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  70  37  54  32 /  10   0   0   0
BPT  72  37  59  38 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for LAZ027-028.

     Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 7 PM CST Monday for LAZ027>033-044-
     045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.

     Freeze Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for
     LAZ027>033-044-045-055-141>143-153-154.

TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for TXZ180-259-260.

     Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 7 PM CST Monday for TXZ180-201-
     259>262-515-516-615-616.

     Freeze Watch from Monday evening through Tuesday morning for
     TXZ180-201-259>262-516.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for GMZ430-432.

     Low Water Advisory from 10 AM to 3 PM CST Monday for GMZ430-432.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST Monday for GMZ435-436.

     Gale Warning until 6 AM CST Monday for GMZ450-452-455-470-472-
     475.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 3 PM CST Monday for GMZ450-470.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 9 PM CST Monday for GMZ452-455-
     472-475.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05