669
FXUS64 KLCH 011751
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1251 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Increasing clouds and a few showers or thunderstorms expected
  this afternoon ahead of a weak upper trough and cold front.

- Clear and dry conditions return Sunday with mild afternoons and
  cool nights through Tuesday.

- Wednesday through the end of the week, a warming trend will take
  place as onshore flow becomes established once again.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Current conditions are in the upper 50s to 60s under mostly sunny
skies. Winds continue to turn out of the east and southeast as a
surface high over the SE CONUS shifts closer to the Atlantic
Coast. Albeit it little, some moisture return will allow for
isolated showers this afternoon as a weak cold front moves
through. Another surface high over the Central Plains will move
in, leading to northerly flow by tonight. Cooler and drier air
will filter in the rest of this weekend into early next week.
MaxTs will be at or a few degrees below climo norms in the lower
70s to upper 60s, with MinTs nearly 7 to 15 degrees below normal
in the mid 30s to 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Friday)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

The surface high pressure along with the cooler and drier airmass
will depart us in the long term, with a warming trend ensuing as
an upper level high expands over the US/MX border then makes its
way into the Gulf by midweek. Both min and max temps will be
nearly 6 to 12 degrees above normal, with highs topping out in the
lower 80s and lows only falling into the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Winds will be from the south for near the entire duration of the
long term, with a more humid and muggy feel.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Isolated light to moderate showers to move across the area in
response to a weak cold front. Post frontal passage, a high
pressure will move into the area with northerly winds and clearing
skies expected.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Shore parallel winds with some slight ESE onshore components are
likely remain in the forecast until the later afternoon ahead of a
cold front that will push through the region this afternoon into
evening. Offshore flow between 15-25 knots will become
reestablished behind this front early Sunday. As a result of this,
a short Small Craft Advisory will be in effect Sunday morning to
evening.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Light east to southeast winds are expected ahead of a cold front
that will move through the area this afternoon and evening. Winds
will turn north in the wake of the cold front early Sunday through
Tuesday. In the meanwhile, Min RH this afternoon range around
45-55% ahead of the frontal boundary which will be accompanied by
a few showers. Following the frontal passage, dry conditions will
prevail through next week with minimum RH ranges between 25-40%
through mid week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  41  65  36  68 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  48  69  42  70 /  20   0   0   0
LFT  48  68  41  68 /  20   0   0   0
BPT  48  71  44  70 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to noon CDT Sunday for GMZ450-452-
     470-472.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...87