Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
222 FXUS64 KLCH 131740 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1240 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry and warm weather anticipated through mid week. - Moisture will begin to increase Thursday. - The next chance of rain will be Friday and Saturday as a weak wave moves over the northwest Gulf. Rain chances are low, as it depends heavily on moisture return prior to Friday. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday night) Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 A ridge at the surface stretches from eastern Canada into the northern gulf coast this afternoon while an upper ridge is centered over the Texas coast. These features will remain in place through the short term keeping the local region mild and dry. The warm and dry mid level flow around the upper ridge will keep an inversion in place suppressing cloud cover and therefore any shower activity with the flow around the surface ridge driving driving lower dewpoints to the gulf coast. Highs will be slightly above normal with a 30ish degree diurnal swing from the near normal morning lows. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through next Sunday) Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 An upper low will push into California Tuesday and into the Rockies by Thursday. This will erode the upper ridge in the extended. The surface high will also shift east from Wednesday into Thursday increasing surface moisture as the fetch become more onshore. Cloud cover will increase by Thursday with low end rain chances returning to the forecast by Friday. A frontal boundary will push into the area Saturday/late Sunday with scattered showers and storms possible ahead of the boundary. Minimal cooling is anticipated behind the boundary, however dewpoints may once again decrease several degrees for a brief period. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 Light winds and VFR conditions are anticipated through the period. && .MARINE... Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 Through the middle of the week, winds will be below 10 knots and mainly from the east. At night, winds will be calm. Waves will stay below 3 feet. Rain chances will be below 10% with a slight increase in rain chances near the end of the week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1205 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 While minimum afternoon humidity levels will fall into the 25 to 40% range through the next couple of afternoons, winds will remain light. Moisture levels will increase during the second half of the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 57 87 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 62 88 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 60 88 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 62 89 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...05