Great Lakes Forecast
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474
FZUS61 KCLE 032002
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
402 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary located near Lake Erie will settle south
tonight, then settling towards the Ohio Valley through Saturday.
A ridge averaging 30.00 inches will build from the Great Lakes
into northern Ohio this weekend and into early next week.

LEZ162-163-040230-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
402 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 649 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the early overnight, then
showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms late. Some
thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds and large hail
this evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Showers
likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance
of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms late. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of
showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers
in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
.MONDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Waves
2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance
of showers Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ164>167-040230-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
402 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 649 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Thunderstorms
with showers likely this evening, then showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Some thunderstorms may be
severe with damaging winds and large hail this evening. Waves
1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Showers
likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance
of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms late. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast.
A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to
15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.MONDAY...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Waves
2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ168-169-040230-
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
402 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 649 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...West winds 10 knots or less. Showers and thunderstorms
likely this evening, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms
after midnight. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging
winds and large hail this evening. Waves around 1 foot.
.FRIDAY...Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a
slight chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers
with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A chance of showers late.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming
northeast. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east.
Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves
2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...East winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Waves
1 foot or less.
.TUESDAY...Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers Tuesday night.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-040230-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
402 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

.TONIGHT...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Showers
and thunderstorms likely early, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms late this evening. A chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Waves around
1 foot.
.FRIDAY...North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable.
A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming
northeast. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east.
Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Waves
2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...East winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Waves
1 foot or less.
.TUESDAY...Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south 10 to
15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-040230-
MAFOR 0321/
ERIE WEST 1/3...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11809 11300
11400 11500 11606 12600 11700. Waves 1 foot or less.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11709
11609 11500 11600 11606 12600 11700. Waves 1 foot or less.

ERIE EAST 1/3...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11600 11606
12600 11700 12800 11700. A chance of thunderstorms early this
evening. Waves 1 foot or less.

$$