Great Lakes Forecast
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961
FZUS61 KCLE 181951
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
351 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure 29.70 inches enters the region as a cold front moves
southeast across Lake Erie into tonight. As the cold front
exits, high pressure 30.00 inches will briefly enter the region
Sunday and Monday. A warm front will lift into the region
Monday and will be quickly followed by another cold front on
Tuesday. A trough averaging 29.80 inches will linger across the
eastern Great Lakes on Wednesday.

LEZ162-163-190230-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
351 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke. Waves
1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east less than
10 knots. Patchy smoke from late morning on. Waves 1 to 3 feet
subsiding to 1 foot or less.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds 10 knots or less becoming south.
Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
.MONDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
.MONDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest
15 to 20 knots. Showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms during the day.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 5 to
15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south.
Waves 1 foot or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ164-165-190230-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
351 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. Showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms early, then a slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms late this evening. Patchy smoke from
late evening on. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than
10 knots. Patchy smoke from late morning on. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...North winds less than 10 knots becoming
southeast. Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
.MONDAY...South winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
.MONDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
2 to 4 feet.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a
chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...North winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves
2 feet or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ166>169-190230-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
351 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.TONIGHT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. Showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke from
late evening on. Waves 3 to 6 feet.
.SUNDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest.
Patchy smoke. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Patchy smoke in
the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
.MONDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less
building to 3 to 5 feet.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 4 to 7 feet
subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south.
Waves 2 feet or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-190230-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
351 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

.TONIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke. Waves 3 to 6 feet
subsiding to 2 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming light and variable.
Patchy smoke. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...West winds less than 10 knots becoming south.
Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
.MONDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Waves 1 foot
or less.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south
10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to
15 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to
4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to
15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
.THURSDAY...Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest.
Waves 1 to 2 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-190230-
MAFOR 1821/
ERIE WEST 1/3...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11720 13820
12110 12100. A chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance of
showers and thunderstorms this evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 3 to 5 feet tonight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1
to 3 feet Sunday.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11726
11720 12820 11110 11810 12800. A chance of thunderstorms this
evening. Waves 3 to 6 feet tonight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding
to 1 to 3 feet Sunday.

ERIE EAST 1/3...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11620 11710
13810 12800 11700. A chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance
of showers and thunderstorms this evening. Waves 3 to 6 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet tonight. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to
1 foot or less Sunday.

$$