Probability of Exceed
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
216
FXUS38 KWNC 171231
POELHK
HEATING DEGREE DAYS PROB. OF EXCEEDENCE OUTLOOKS - DIVISIONS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM THU 17 JUL 2025
VALID: JUNE - AUGUST 2026
...HEATING DEGREE DAYS IN FAHRENHEIT 65F BASIS...
#. DIVISION NAME CLIM LINE1
98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 LINE2
________________________________________________________________
1. N NEW ENGLAND 367
193 210 227 251 271 288 305 323 342 365 399 428 461
2. NE NEW ENGLAND 196
0 0 0 29 77 124 144 207 218 231 250 267 292
3. N NEW YORK 229
0 0 0 38 96 154 169 235 252 273 306 336 371
4. S NEW ENGLAND 88
0 0 0 0 0 9 42 66 74 86 104 121 142
5. E GRT LAKES 174
0 0 0 9 67 124 137 193 211 234 269 300 337
6. OHIO 79
0 0 0 0 10 35 42 59 72 91 120 146 178
7. MID-ATL COAST 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 51 66
8. N APPALACHNS 130
0 0 0 0 18 60 81 117 131 148 176 200 230
9. CENT APPALACHNS 73
0 0 0 0 10 36 46 66 77 92 112 130 151
10. COASTL VIRG 13
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 10 15 22 30
11. S APPALACHNS 36
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 40 49 64 78 96
12. COASTL CAROLNAS 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 4
13. INTERIOR CAROLNAS 8
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 11 16 22
14. UPPER MICH 342
0 0 25 123 216 308 300 392 423 462 520 569 626
15. N MINN 320
0 11 65 158 244 329 293 359 390 427 483 531 589
16. E NORTH DAK 261
0 0 14 98 178 256 242 311 336 368 420 466 521
17. W NORTH DAK 280
0 3 54 143 226 308 266 320 347 382 437 484 541
18. E MONT 254
0 0 0 57 140 220 232 316 342 376 424 467 519
19. N-CENT MONT 348
0 14 68 161 248 332 299 368 394 427 476 517 567
20. S-CENT MONT 365
0 8 62 155 242 327 289 352 379 414 463 506 557
21. W MONT 471
222 245 268 301 327 350 373 397 423 455 501 540 587
22. N-CENT MICH 210
0 0 0 27 95 161 170 230 254 285 331 371 421
23. S MICH 98
0 0 0 12 45 79 73 93 111 135 171 204 245
24. E-CENT ILL 69
0 0 0 0 19 46 57 82 94 111 137 162 192
25. N ILL 119
0 0 2 39 75 112 98 123 142 168 207 243 286
26. N WISC 245
0 0 11 91 167 240 221 278 303 333 380 421 471
27. SE MINN 172
0 0 0 26 92 152 152 198 221 250 293 330 375
28. E SOUTH DAK 176
0 7 39 96 149 204 167 192 217 248 295 337 387
29. CENT SOUTH DAK 171
0 0 16 72 126 179 161 199 224 257 306 350 403
30. W SOUTH DAK 188
0 7 45 112 175 237 184 201 231 269 324 372 427
31. NE WYOMING 261
0 0 0 51 131 209 223 301 327 359 406 450 502
32. NW WYOMING 422
0 4 63 167 264 362 339 431 460 495 546 590 640
33. E IOWA 102
0 0 0 38 74 110 98 123 138 158 189 217 251
34. NW IOWA 119
0 0 0 27 71 114 116 155 173 197 233 265 305
35. CENT NEBRASKA 128
0 0 0 25 67 108 108 142 161 186 223 256 297
36. S NEBRASKA 86
26 30 35 45 57 69 81 94 109 129 160 187 218
37. W NEBR/CHEYENE 177
0 0 0 4 72 133 139 189 210 237 278 314 357
38. E KENTUCKY 40
0 0 0 0 0 0 27 45 52 62 78 94 115
39. W KENTUCKY 22
0 0 0 0 1 9 10 15 21 29 43 56 73
40. SE MISSOURI 24
0 0 0 0 0 5 12 19 25 35 50 64 82
41. NE MISSOURI 50
0 0 7 21 35 49 41 49 58 70 89 108 131
42. NW MISSOURI 47
0 1 8 20 33 45 37 43 52 65 84 103 126
43. E KANSAS 29
0 0 5 13 21 30 22 23 28 36 48 59 74
44. CENT KANSAS 38
0 0 0 0 5 21 30 45 52 61 76 90 107
45. W KANSAS 48
0 0 0 2 16 31 32 45 52 63 78 93 111
46. NE COLO 227
0 0 0 22 88 153 166 229 251 278 317 352 394
47. SE COLO 137
0 0 0 0 0 18 74 116 129 147 175 202 236
48. W COLO 299
0 0 0 19 80 140 155 221 242 271 315 353 400
49. SW WYOMING 470
194 218 243 277 305 330 356 381 410 446 496 539 594
50. CENT TENN 21
0 0 0 0 0 0 8 13 17 23 34 44 57
51. W TENN 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 18 24
52. OZARK MOUNTNS 18
0 0 0 0 3 8 9 14 17 22 30 39 52
53. CENT OKLAHOMA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 8 13 18 26
54. TX W OF ABILENE 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 9 15
55. N HI PLAINS TX 10
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 12 19 30
56. N GEORGIA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 11 15 20
57. N ALABAMA 6
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 17 23
58. CENT MISSISSIPPI 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
59. S ARKANSAS 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 7 11
60. E TX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
61. DALLAS REG TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6
62. SAN ANTONIO REG TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
63. FAR S TX 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
64. W-CENT TX 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
65. W TX PANHANDLE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
66. JAXONVIL FLA REG 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
67. CENT FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
68. S FLA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
69. FLA PANHANDLE 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
70. COASTL LOUISIANA 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
71. COASTL TX NR HOUST 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6
72. NW WASH 281
0 0 2 71 136 200 199 266 283 304 336 365 401
73. PENDELTON REG OREG 325
0 0 0 7 89 171 207 307 325 349 390 427 470
74. CENT WASH 232
0 0 0 18 77 132 145 200 216 236 265 291 322
75. SEATTLE REG WASH 484
209 230 250 281 305 327 349 371 396 425 468 505 548
76. COASTL WASH 551
335 356 376 401 420 437 454 470 488 512 548 579 616
77. E IDAHO 319
0 0 0 0 58 144 202 311 330 356 401 440 488
78. IDAHO CENT MOUNTNS 447
0 17 72 169 263 354 327 408 435 469 517 559 608
79. SW IDAHO 144
0 0 0 0 0 6 58 91 111 135 168 198 236
80. E OREG 365
0 0 15 99 179 258 261 352 376 405 447 483 527
81. OREG COASTL VALLEY 249
0 0 0 0 38 110 160 249 264 282 311 340 374
82. OREG COAST 485
313 333 352 376 394 411 427 442 459 480 514 544 579
83. NE UTAH 284
0 0 0 0 0 0 160 273 288 308 341 372 416
84. SE UTAH 37
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 34 39 51 64 82
85. W UTAH 90
0 0 0 0 0 0 17 29 39 53 78 102 132
86. NE NEVADA 304
0 0 10 78 142 205 205 274 290 312 345 378 419
87. NW NEVADA 228
0 0 0 0 29 94 130 190 204 224 254 282 315
88. SACRMNTO REG CALIF 97
0 0 0 0 0 0 26 42 52 66 88 107 130
89. N CALIF COAST 151
0 0 0 0 0 42 101 166 175 187 204 220 240
90. CENT NEVADA 109
0 0 0 0 9 32 46 72 79 89 104 120 142
91. FRESNO REG CALIF 36
0 0 0 0 0 0 10 16 19 24 33 41 52
92. CENT CALIF COAST 147
0 0 0 0 31 75 103 156 166 180 200 219 243
93. S CALIF COAST 52
0 0 0 0 8 24 31 45 51 60 73 84 98
94. SE CALIF 3
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 6
95. LAS VEGAS NEV REG 2
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
96. SW ARIZONA 4
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3
97. NE ARIZONA 74
0 0 0 0 0 0 21 34 40 49 64 78 97
98. SE ARIZONA 5
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
99. N NEW MEX 225
0 0 0 0 19 88 136 216 229 247 274 299 332
100. E NEW MEX 18
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 8 14 19 27
101. CENT NEW MEX 84
0 0 0 0 0 0 29 47 54 65 81 97 117
102. S NEW MEX 11
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 14 21
$$