142
FXUS64 KLIX 160837
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
337 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 232 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Highs for today and Tuesday have been lowered by a few degrees as
cloud cover and rain cooled air should be capable of holding temps
in the upper 80s with a few 90s around each day. Higher than normal
precip numbers continue through Tuesday with a low but credible
chance of severe storms being produced. The main issue with any of
these storms will be heavy rainfall which can produce upwards of 1
to 1.5" totals per hour. This can cause temporary flooding of low
lying and poor drainage areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 232 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Wednesday through Thursday will show some slight differences as
fewer storms will be around. But precip chances will remain above
normal, we have just backed numbers down from 80% to 60% as some
weak ridging moves in. Thursday will be a bit different as the ridge
is built more over the west, so we have shown precip numbers
accordingly by leaving NBM numbers east and lowered west. Fri
through the weekend a bit closer to normal precip coverage looks to
be the case and we can begin to show these differences as we get
closer to the weekend. Any given day can bring an isolated heavy
rain and/or severe storm.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 232 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Cigs will mainly be VFR outside TSRA which will lower these levels
temporarily when they occur. MCB could see IFR cigs again late
tonight but this will lift shortly after sunrise.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 232 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Southerly winds at 15kt or less is expected throughout this fcast as
we remain in a very typical summer pattern with respect to the
northern gulf waters. There is a good chance of sh/ts each day and
night. Some of these could become strong causing winds to shift and
rise abruptly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  89  72  89  73 /  80  20  70  10
BTR  90  75  90  75 /  80  20  80  10
ASD  90  74  90  75 /  90  20  80  10
MSY  90  78  91  79 /  90  20  80  10
GPT  89  76  89  78 /  60  30  70  20
PQL  90  75  89  76 /  60  30  70  20

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...TE
MARINE...TE