261
FXUS64 KLIX 291722
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1122 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1057 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

- Below normal temps expected through the remainder of the week.

- Another significant Arctic outbreak, stronger/colder than last
  weekend, with impacts expected late Friday through early Monday
  morning. No precipitation is expected, but the air mass will be
  very cold, with the primary threats being dangerously low
  temperatures and wind chills. A Cold Weather

- Gale force winds look to be on the horizon the entire weekend,
  starting as early as Friday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1057 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

Conditions will be dry through the short term forecast. The main
story for the short term forecast will be the extreme cold
temperatures that we are expecting across the area. Low
temperatures Saturday and Sunday morning will be in the mid 20s to
low 20s in most locations. These temperatures are cold, but will
be greatly exacerbated by the strong winds. Wind chill
temperatures will be in the teens to single digits for most of the
area Saturday and Sunday mornings. As a result, Extreme Cold
Warnings have been issued for the entire area from Friday night
through Sunday morning. Highs on Saturday will be just above
freezing for most locations while highs on Sunday are a bit warmer
with temperatures in the mid 40s. During this cold event,
remember the 4 Ps: pets, plants, people, and pipes. Make sure to
dress warmly if you need to be outside, but prolonged exposure
will be dangerous. MSW

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 1057 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

Monday through mid week, temperatures will be warming steadily
through the week. Highs will be in the mid 60s and lows will be in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. Looking at the models, conditions will
be dry Monday and Tuesday. Another cold front will likely be
moving through the area Wednesday, which will cause another cold
snap. It is still too far out to discern too many details, but
some strong to severe storms could be possible on Wednesday as the
system moves through the area. We will be monitoring for changes
as we go through the next few days. MSW

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1057 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

VFR conditions prevail at all area airports and will persist for
most area airports throughout the forecast period. Conditions
will drop to IFR for a few hours at MCB and BTR around daybreak
due to lower ceilings. Wind shifts greater than 30 degrees will be
expected throughout the forecast period at all area airports. MSW

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1057 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026

A surface low developing along the lee of the Rockies will move
southeast across the Red River and into the Lower Ms Valley today.
However it will weaken as this occurs leading to light onshore flow
today and tonight before it moves into the southeastern CONUS
overnight. Once it moves through offshore flow will redevelop
through the day and increasing in strength. By afternoon SCY
conditions will likely be in place and as deeper cold air drives
into the region winds northerly and northwesterly winds will
continue to increase and Gale conditions could develop. A Gale
Warning has been issued for Friday night through Saturday. Winds
will eventually begin to taper off as high pressure builds in early
Sunday.

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Extreme Cold Warning from midnight Friday night to 10 AM CST
     Sunday for LAZ034>037-039-046>048-056>060-064>071-076>090.

GM...Gale Warning from 6 PM Friday to midnight CST Saturday night for
     GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...Extreme Cold Warning from midnight Friday night to 10 AM CST
     Sunday for MSZ068>071-077-083>088.

GM...Gale Warning from 6 PM Friday to midnight CST Saturday night for
     GMZ532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...MSW
MARINE...MSW