Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
281 FXUS64 KLIX 231047 AFDLIX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 547 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 547 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026 - A mostly dry cold front moves through today, bringing a shift to northerly winds and noticeably lower humidity. Relatively quiet and dry weather continues through the week. && .SHORT TERM... (Now through Saturday) Issued at 1036 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 Very tranquil but warm conditions will remain through the short term. A dry frontal passage will cause dew pt temps to fall today, and at first this process will be slow and gradual on northerly winds. Then the bulk of the dry air moves in after sunset today. Eventhough high temps will remain warm, lows will fall to around room temp as 72F should dot the map in many locations each morning. The northern portion of the area will see temps a bit cooler but only getting to the upper 60s for some. This relatively cooler but drier air should remain into the weekend with some fluctuations occurring through that time frame in dew pt temps. Precip chances will be too low to really show in the fcast for the short term. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1036 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 To end the work week, we will start to see the upper level bridge retrograde a little back westward as the troughing over the east coast deepens. We will continue to see lowering dew points heading into the early part of the weekend as northeasterly flow continues to bring drier air into the region. Early morning low temperatures are noticeably a tick cooler, with most northern areas in the mid to upper 60s. Meanwhile afternoon highs will still be in the upper 80s to lower 90s through the long term forecast period as we still feel the effects of the upper ridge. Heading into the later part of the weekend, we will switch back to southeasterly flow which will bring moisture back in. In terms of precipitation, the drier air mass that moves in towards the end of the week is shown in the PoPs which don`t get above ~10% for onshore areas through Sunday. Offshore marine areas may see some isolated convection, but even that looks to be very limited. Just outside the long term period, we may start to see PoPs creep back up with the moisture recovery that starts Sunday. HRL && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 547 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2026 VFR through this cycle. && .MARINE... Issued at 1036 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 Light winds and relatively low seas continue through Thursday outside isolated thunderstorms, which could produce brief strong and erratic wind gusts. A cold front moves through the coastal waters today, followed by strengthening northerly to northeasterly winds and building seas through Thursday. Winds should remain around 15 knots during this period. Winds shift to more NE to E by the end of the week with speeds at or below 20 knots. && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...TE LONG TERM....HL AVIATION...TE MARINE...TE