Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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489
FNUS74 KLIX 040816
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for Roseland Event...Tangipahoa Parish EM
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
316 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Low pressure offshore will combine with high pressure to the
north of the area to produce a persistent east to northeast wind
through the weekend. Winds will generally range between 10 and
20 mph with occasional gusts to 25 mph each day, especially near
the coast. South of Interstate 10, minimum RH values are expected
to be above 65 percent, with fuels becoming wet, especially on
Sunday. North of Interstate 10, drier air will remain in place
today, with minimum humidities as low as 40 to 50 percent. On
Sunday, rain will overspread the rest of the area. A return to a
drier and warmer regime will occur next week as high pressure
becomes more dominant over the region. Winds will also decrease
back to 5 to 10 mph as the high builds in.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Max apparent temp...68.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds around 8 mph.
Mixing height (m)...152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East around 6 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 7 mph.

TIME (CDT)      4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
Temp............68  68
RH..............78  78
Aparnt tmp (F)..68  68
20 FT wind dir..NE  ENE
20 FT wind spd..8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  12
Surface wnd dir.NE  ENE
Surface wnd spd.8   8
Surface wnd gst.12  12
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.E   E
Transp wind spd.14  14
Trans wind dir..E   E
Trans spd (m/s).6   6
Ceiling (kft)...25  25

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Max apparent temp...87.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 9 to 15 mph.
Mixing height (m)...152-1494 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 6 to 8 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 13 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   7   11  13  29  36  41  44  33  40  41  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............67  67  69  73  78  81  84  84  85  86  84  84
RH..............78  78  73  68  60  56  51  51  50  46  49  49
Aparnt tmp (F)..67  67  69  73  78  83  85  85  86  87  85  85
20 FT wind dir..ENE ENE ENE E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   9   12  13  14  14  14  14  14  15  14  13
20 FT wind gust.13  13  16  17  20  20  20  20  20  21  20  17
Surface wnd dir.ENE ENE ENE E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.9   9   12  13  14  14  14  14  14  15  14  13
Surface wnd gst.13  13  16  17  20  20  20  20  20  21  20  17
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  15  18  18  18  17  17  17  16  16
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Max apparent temp...83.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height (m)...152-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 4 to 7 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 2.7 early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36  37  34  33  26  28  12  19  20  31  27  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
Temp............82  78  75  74  72  71  70  70  70  70  69  68
RH..............53  60  69  71  76  76  78  78  78  78  84  87
Aparnt tmp (F)..83  78  75  74  72  71  70  70  70  70  69  68
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE
20 FT wind spd..10  9   9   8   7   7   6   6   6   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.15  13  13  12  9   9   8   8   8   9   12  13
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E   ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE
Surface wnd spd.10  9   9   8   7   7   6   6   6   7   8   9
Surface wnd gst.15  13  13  12  9   9   8   8   8   9   12  13
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  14  14
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).7   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  2.7

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Max apparent temp...84.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height (m)...152-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 6 to 9 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......1.1 decreasing to 0.9 early in the morning,
                    then decreasing to 0.8 early in the morning
                    increasing to 0.9 late in the afternoon
                    increasing to 1.7.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning and
                    early afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  37  48  51  53  56  59  62  64  66  68  65
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............69  69  70  73  76  78  80  80  80  80  79  79
RH..............87  87  87  84  82  79  77  77  77  77  79  79
Aparnt tmp (F)..69  69  70  73  76  78  84  84  84  84  79  79
20 FT wind dir..E   ENE E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  10  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.15  15  17  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  17
Surface wnd dir.E   ENE E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.10  10  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13
Surface wnd gst.15  15  17  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  17
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  15  20  20  20  18  18  18  16  16
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).6   7   7   7   9   9   9   8   8   8   7   7
Ceiling (kft)...1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.7

$$
Forecaster...FRYE
Requested by...Dawson Primes
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 2522746.3/LIX
.DELDT 10/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vtravis@tangivpahoa.org,dawson.primes@tangipahoa.org,schroeder.hope@epa.gov,sr-lix.forecaster@noaa.gov