Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
500
FNUS74 KLIX 211901
FWSLIX
Spot Forecast for Roseland Event...Tangipahoa Parish Emergency Management
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
101 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Through Friday, warm and humid weather is expected as onshore
winds push Gulf moisture into the region. Isolated to scattered
light rain showers will develop through Friday, but rainfall
totals will remain very light. Another stronger storm system will
then move in for the weekend with rain over most of the region
Saturday into Sunday. However, in southwest Mississippi and
portions of southeast Louisiana north of a Baton Rouge to
Bogalusa line, some freezing rain could develop Saturday night
into Sunday morning as temperatures fall below freezing. Dry and
cold conditions will return on Monday through Wednesday of next
week.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Max apparent temp...67.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height (m)...183-579 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast around 4 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......7.3 decreasing to 5.8 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89 89 89 92
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 40
Temp............67 67 65 63
RH..............61 63 68 72
Aparnt tmp (F)..67 67 65 63
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..10 9 8 6
20 FT wind gust.16 14 13 9
Surface wnd dir.SSE SSE SE SE
Surface wnd spd.10 9 8 6
Surface wnd gst.16 14 13 9
Mix hgt (km)....0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SE ESE
Transp wind spd.10 9 10 8
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SE ESE
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4
Ceiling (kft)...7.3 5.8 5.8 5.8
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely in the evening, then chance of rain
showers overnight. Patchy fog after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Max apparent temp...61.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height (m)...122-152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 4 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......5.8 decreasing to 4.5 late in the evening, then
decreasing to 0.7 overnight decreasing to 0.4
overnight increasing to 1.5 decreasing to 0.8
after 3 am decreasing to 0.5.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91 91 91 91 90 87 88 81 82 82 81 77
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RNF RNF
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20
Temp............61 60 59 59 58 58 57 57 57 56 56 56
RH..............81 84 87 90 93 90 96 100 96 100 100 100
Aparnt tmp (F)..61 60 59 59 58 58 57 57 57 56 56 56
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE S S SSE NE ENE
20 FT wind spd..5 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2
20 FT wind gust.7 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
Surface wnd dir.SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE S S SSE NE ENE
Surface wnd spd.5 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2
Surface wnd gst.7 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SSE S S SSE S S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 8 9 8 7 8 8 8 5 5 6 5
Trans wind dir..SE SE SE SSE S S SSE S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 2 2 3 2
Ceiling (kft)...5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 0.7 0.4 1.5 0.8 0.5
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the morning. Patchy fog
early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Max apparent temp...70.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds in the morning becoming northeast
around 5 mph, then shifting to the north late
in the afternoon becoming light.
Mixing height (m)...152-701 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest
around 5 mph in the late morning and early
afternoon, then shifting to the northwest early
in the afternoon shifting to the southwest late
in the afternoon shifting to the northeast
around 6 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 1 to 3 meters/second shifting to the
southwest around 2 meters/second in the late
morning and early afternoon, then shifting to
the northwest early in the afternoon shifting
to the southwest late in the afternoon shifting
to the northeast around 3 meters/second.
CEILING (KFT).......0.4 decreasing to 0.3 early in the morning,
then increasing to 0.4 late in the morning
increasing to 0.5 late in the morning
increasing to 1.1 increasing to 1.8 early in
the afternoon increasing to 2.4.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds in the morning becoming northeast
around 5 mph, then shifting to the north late
in the afternoon becoming light.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78 80 63 67 66 66 67 73 68 59 64 70
Weather cov.....SCH PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RNF FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............56 57 59 62 65 67 69 70 70 70 68 65
RH..............100 96 93 93 87 81 76 73 73 71 78 84
Aparnt tmp (F)..56 57 59 62 65 67 69 70 70 70 68 65
20 FT wind dir..NNE NE NE NE ENE ENE NE E NE N N NNE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 3 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 5
Surface wnd dir.NNE NE NE NE ENE ENE NE E NE N N NNE
Surface wnd spd.2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3
Surface wnd gst.3 3 3 3 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2
Transp wind dir.N N N N SW SW SW WSW NW WSW NE NE
Transp wind spd.6 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
Trans wind dir..N N N N SW SW SW WSW NW WSW NE NE
Trans spd (m/s).3 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
Ceiling (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.4
$$
Forecaster...GILMORE
Requested by...Dawson Primes
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 2600281.5/LIX
.DELDT 01/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sr-lix.forecasters@noaa.gov,ssresponse@responsegroupinc.com,dawson.primes@tangipahoa.org,vtravis@tangipahoa.org