Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
858 FXUS65 KLKN 111929 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1229 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1229 PM PDT Sat Oct 11 2025 * Scattered showers in Eastern Nevada this afternoon * Sub-freezing temperatures in the valleys of Northern and Central Nevada both tonight and Sunday night * Strong, gusty south winds in Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening * Periods of precipitation throughout Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through Friday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A trough of low pressure will pass eastward across Northern Nevada this afternoon, resulting in elevated precipitation chances. Precipitation chances will be highest over Eastern Nevada this afternoon. Low temperatures throughout Northern and Central Nevada tonight will be around five degrees below normal for this time of year. Here are probabilities of minimum temperatures of 32 degrees or lower for locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Sunday, October 12th, 2025: Elko - 100% Spring Creek - 100% Winnemucca - 100% Ely - 100% Eureka - 100% Battle Mountain - 100% Carlin - 100% Wells - 90% Jackpot - 80% Austin - 65% Maximum temperatures across Northern and Central Nevada Sunday afternoon will be about ten degrees below seasonal values. A cyclone aloft will move southward, just off the west coast of the United States Monday and Monday night. This upper-level area of low pressure will turn eastward and make landfall over Central California Tuesday. South wind gusts near 45 mph are possible in Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. A Wind Advisory may be required for Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. The aforementioned cyclone aloft will progress northeastward across the Silver State Tuesday night and Wednesday, before entering Big Sky Country Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Periods of precipitation are likely throughout Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning. Snow levels will start at around 8,000 feet Tuesday afternoon, before dropping to about 6,000 feet Wednesday night. The majority of this precipitation will fall Tuesday night. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence regarding scattered showers in Eastern Nevada this afternoon. High forecast confidence in sub-freezing temperatures in the valleys of Northern and Central Nevada both tonight and Sunday night. Moderate forecast confidence regarding strong, gusty south winds in Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. Moderate forecast confidence in periods of precipitation in Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning. No deviations from the NBM model output. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the next 24 hours. Showers will be in the vicinity of KEKO until about 00Z this afternoon. Showers will be in the vicinity of KENV until about 02Z this evening. && .FIRE WEATHER... Temperatures will remain below seasonal values tonight through Monday night. Strong, gusty south winds are expected in Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. The next storm system will impact Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning, resulting in periods of precipitation. Most of this precipitation will fall Tuesday night. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 87