Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
174 FXUS65 KLKN 132018 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 118 PM PDT Sun Sep 13 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Elevated risk of wildfires in most of Northern and Central Nevada through this evening * Cooling trend continuing into Monday * Near freezing temperatures in the coldest valleys of Northern and Central Nevada tonight && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Sunday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Northern and central Nevada is currently sitting south of an upper level trough across the Pacific Northwest. This setup is bringing breezy to locally windy conditions to the region. Afternoon high temperatures are coming in cooler versus yesterday with readings in the 70s. Look for the winds to subside during the evening with a cold night ahead with lows in the 20s and 30s. Monday through Wednesday, the area will be under a dry southwest flow aloft. Conditions will generally be dry with light winds except for east-central Nevada. Winds across White Pine county will be out of the southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph each afternoon. Highs will be in the 70s for Tuesday and warming into the 70s and 80s Wednesday afternoon. Overnight lows will be in the 30s and 40s. By Thursday and Friday all models are depicting an upper level trough diving to the south. This will bring breezy afternoon winds with highs in the 70s and 80s. At this time, the airmass is anticipated to remain on the dry side. Overnight lows will be in the 30s. On Saturday and Sunday, expect continued dry conditions with highs in the 70s and 80s and lows in the 30s and 40s. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: No changes were made to the NBM forecast. Confidence is high regarding cooler temperatures through Monday. Moderate to high confidence exists during mid-week as temperatures gradually warm, climbing to at or just above normal conditions. && .AVIATION... Look for VFR conditions at all terminals over the next 24 hour period. Winds will remain elevated through the early evening today though the terminal at KENV will see locally windy conditions into the early morning hours. Much lighter wind expected tomorrow at all terminals. && .FIRE WEATHER... Elevated fire weather concerns exist for FWZs 425/469/470 for the rest of Sunday evening where sustained winds of 20-25 mph with gusts near 30 mph are forecast. Combined with borderline RH values conditions will exist for fire starts and extreme fire growth/behavior. The threat for elevated fire weather concerns is minimal Monday and into next week. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86 FIRE WEATHER...99