Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
898
FXUS65 KLKN 131927
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1227 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 1228 PM PDT Mon Oct 13 2025

* Strong, gusty south winds in Central Nevada this afternoon and
  this evening

* Periods of precipitation throughout Northern and Central Nevada
  Tuesday through Wednesday night

* Accumulating snow on passes and summits along Highway 50 Tuesday
  night and Wednesday morning

* Cooling trend Tuesday and Wednesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Sunday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A cyclone aloft will move southward just
off the coast of Northern California this afternoon and this
evening. This atmospheric disturbance will be responsible for
strong, gusty south winds in Central Nevada this afternoon and
this evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for Central Nevada
until 11 PM PDT this evening due to south wind gusts near 45 mph.
The aforementioned upper-level area of low pressure will turn
eastward tonight, before making landfall in Central California
Tuesday. The cyclone aloft will progress northeastward across the
Silver State Tuesday night through Wednesday night, before
entering Big Sky Country Thursday.

Precipitation ahead of the upper-level area of low pressure should
begin to overspread Central Nevada late tonight or early Tuesday
morning. Periods of precipitation are likely throughout Northern
and Central Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday night. Snow levels
will start at around 7,000 feet Tuesday morning, before dropping
to about 6,000 feet Tuesday night. Accumulating snow is
anticipated on passes and summits along Highway 50 Tuesday night
and Wednesday morning. Snow amounts will be as high as two to four
inches on Austin Summit. Closer to the valley floor, rain amounts
should be around one half of an inch. Here are probabilities of
rain amounts of one half of an inch or more for locations in
Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday through Wednesday night:

Austin - 72%
Eureka - 71%
Tonopah - 66%
Spring Creek - 62%
Wells - 60%
Carlin - 59%
Battle Mountain - 55%
Winnemucca - 51%
Elko - 50%
Ely - 47%

A ridge of high pressure will build eastward across the Silver
State Thursday and Friday. A ridge of high pressure will move
eastward across the Western United States Saturday. A trough of
low pressure over the Pacific Northwest will approach Northern
Nevada Sunday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence
regarding strong, gusty south winds in Central Nevada this
afternoon and this evening. High forecast confidence in periods
of precipitation throughout Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday
through Wednesday night. High forecast confidence regarding a
cooling trend Tuesday and Wednesday. Moderate forecast confidence
in accumulating snow on passes and summits along Highway 50
Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the
next 24 hours. South wind gusts near 35 knots are expected at
KELY. South wind gusts near 30 knots are anticipated at KTPH.
Showers should enter the vicinity of KTPH, starting at around 14Z
Tuesday morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A Wind Advisory is in effect for Central Nevada until 11 PM PDT
this evening due to south wind gusts near 45 mph. The next storm
system will impact Northern and Central Nevada Tuesday through
Wednesday night, resulting in periods of precipitation. Snow
levels will fall to about 6,000 feet Tuesday night. The majority
of precipitation will fall Tuesday night.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Wind Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening NVZ035-037-040-041.

&&

$$

87