037
FXUS65 KLKN 030823
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1223 AM PST Tue Nov 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Light precipitation possible in Central Nevada later this
  afternoon through tonight.

* Dry conditions expected Wednesday through the upcoming weekend.

* Gradual warming Thursday through the weekend.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(Tonight through next Monday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Current satellite loop is showing mid
and high-level clouds streaming across northern and central
Nevada this morning. Further west in the eastern Pacific, the
next storm system can be seen spinning off the coast of
California. There are a few weak returns on radar but nothing
measurable is reported on remote observation platforms.

For today, all models are showing the upper level system over the
east Pacific moving towards California and into western Nevada
with its effects seen a little later this afternoon and evening.
For most of today, expect peeks of sunshine with the clouds and
occasional afternoon breezes to 15 to 20 mph. High temperatures
this afternoon will be in the 50s, which is just shy above normal.
Rain and snow showers are expected to develop later this afternoon
and continue into the overnight hours tonight. Lows will be in the
30s and 40s. Snow levels are expected to start above 6500 feet,
gradually lowering to about 6000 to 6500 feet during the
overnight. Snow amounts at the aforementioned elevations will be
up to a half-inch or so, with up to and inch or so along the
highest passes and summits.

By Wednesday, a shortwave ridge will transit the forecast area,
bringing partly to mostly sunny skies and afternoon temperatures
in the 40s and 50s. Models are showing a weak impulse moving
through the area late Wednesday and Thursday but not too much in
the way of precipitation is expected with this feature. Overnight
lows through Wednesday night will be in the 20s and 30s. Highs on
Thursday will be in the 50s. Winds are expected to remain light.

For Thursday through the weekend, models are showing a ridge of
high pressure building across the southwestern United States. This
will bring a period of quieter weather to northern and central
Nevada. A warming trend will commence with highs gradually
reaching the upper 50s and 60s with overnight lows in the 20s and
30s. Winds are expected to remain light through the period.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: No adjustments were needed to be
made to the NBM model output. Confidence is high regarding warm
afternoon highs today. Confidence in the upcoming low pressure
system is high with light, showery precipitation expected across
portions of northern and central Nevada later this afternoon
through early Wednesday morning. Moderate forecast confidence
regarding dry weather Wednesday through at least Sunday. Moderate
forecast confidence in gradual warming Thursday through Sunday.

&&


.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the
next 12 to 18 hours. Winds will be relatively light. A storm
system will be moving into the region later this afternoon and
evening, leading to degrading flying conditions. -SHRA/-SHSN are
expected to develop later this afternoon and evening, leading to
reduced VSBY to at least 2SM and CIGS of 1k-2k feet at times.

KBAM TAF is AMD NOT SKED due to a communications outage.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86