567
FXUS65 KLKN 011852
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1152 AM PDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Warming trend continues today.

* Unseasonably warm Friday through Sunday.

* Near record warmth in most of Northern and Central Nevada
  Friday, Saturday, and Sunday afternoons.

* Near record warmth in parts of Northern Nevada Monday
  afternoon.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High pressure system continues to
strengthen over the southwest which will continue to bring in
warmer temperatures and keep weather conditions dry. Warming
temperature trends will make most of northern central Nevada be
several degrees above normal with near record temperatures on
Friday, Saturday, and Sunday afternoons. Each major city in
central and northern Nevada will see above 80 degrees with a
70-90% chance of reaching up to 85 degrees (with the exception of
Ely and Eureka seeing a 10-50% chance of reaching above 80
degrees). Slightly cooler temperatures expected on Monday, but
with highs still remaining several degrees above normal with parts
of northern Nevada seeing near record temperatures. Tuesday and
through the rest of the week, temperatures cool into the upper 70s
for most parts with a few spots in western Nevada staying in the
80s.

A weak upper trough is expected to move over northern Nevada early
next week, however the system is expected to be very dry giving
zero chance of any precipitation in the silver state. The system
is what weakens the high pressure system slightly which will stop
the gradual warming for next week and keep high temperatures in
the upper 70s to 80s. Generally light winds expected throughout
the forecast period.

&&



FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence in regards to
unseasonably warm temperatures reaching to near record Friday and
over the weekend. Moderate confidence of a weak upper level trough
weakening the high pressure system yet high confidence in regards
to no precipitation from this front. High confidence above normal
temperatures remain through next week. No changes to grids at this
time.

&&


.AVIATION...

Look for VFR conditions across all terminals over the next 24 hour
period with general light winds staying below 10 kts.

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...

No elevated fire weather concerns across the forecast period.
High pressure system will continue to keep a warming temperature
trend over Nevada with unseasonably warm temperatures today and
through next week. Warmest temperatures expected tomorrow and
over the weekend reaching to near record. Dry weather conditions
will also persist from the high pressure, dropping min RH levels
down into the single digits in the afternoons, however winds
remain light.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97
FIRE WEATHER...97