Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
771 FXUS65 KLKN 230844 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1244 AM PST Sun Nov 23 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1224 AM PST Sun Nov 23 2025 * Warming trend continues through today * Low chance of isolated snow showers for the mountains of N Elko County on Monday. * Next system possible for Friday into Thanksgiving weekend && .UPDATE... Issued at 1224 AM PST Sun Nov 23 2025 Increased areal coverage of patchy freezing fog across portions of northern Nevada for this morning. Otherwise, current forecast is tracking well. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Friday) Northeastern Nevada remains in a Col region in between a upper level low over southern California and the main westerly flow over the northern tier. Patchy morning fog/freezing fog will remain possible through the weekend thanks to high humidity levels during the night. Aside from the fog, quiet weather conditions with light winds and warming temperatures remain for the weekend. This Col region will be replaced with weak shortwave ridging Sunday as the upper low shifts east across the central plains. Monday a shortwave trough will cross the Pacific NW within the prevailing westerly flow and clip far northern NV, this will bring a low chance of isolated snow showers across the mountains of northern Elko county. Accumulations look to be less than an inch over the Jarbidge with a trace possible for the Independence Range. Tuesday through Thanksgiving weak upper level ridging returns with quiet weather and warming temperatures. Friday into the holiday weekend model confidence is waning on the potential for a upper trough bringing rain and snow back to the region as the GFS and the EC have now shifted the track northward which would limit and impacts, if any out of our area. However with this system still at the far end of the forecast changes are still possible but confidence is low at this time. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: There is high confidence for quiet weather conditions with warming temperatures through Sunday. There is moderate confidence in the development of early morning development of patchy fog/freezing fog across northern Nevada through Monday morning. There is moderate confidence in the development of isolated snow showers over the mountains of N Elko County Monday. There is low confidence in the passage of a upper trough Friday through thanksgiving weekend as model trends have shifted to the north. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions forecast to be the primary flight conditions through Sunday. During the overnight and early morning hours the potential remains for patchy FZFG/FG to redevelop across northern Nevada today and Monday affecting KEKO and KBAM leading to periods of LIFR conditions between 10Z and 19Z. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...86 AVIATION...86